Expertise

Gas & Power Transmission

Remaining competitive through careful network planning.

Renewable energies, altered load profiles - the energy transition increases the requirements for the gas and electricity grids. Careful network planning is therefore essential. It limits the grid fees and ensures competitiveness.

Gas network: Differing needs, new supply options

The gas network must be continuously adapted to new demands and energy sources. Even though the energy consumption of many gas consumers is declining thanks to increasing energy efficiency, demand is still rising in some regions. Due to the shift from German and Dutch L-gas production to H-gas, other suppliers such as Norway and Russia need to be found. In addition, LNG (Liquefied Natural Gas) and green hydrogen offer new supply options.

Electricity grid: absorbing fluctuations in supply and demand

In 2020, renewable energies covered approximately 50 per cent of German electricity consumption. The challenge for electricity grids: volatile electricity generation from wind and solar energy. The grid must be expanded where the potential of renewable energy sources is greatest. In addition, new consumers such as electric vehicles and heat pumps create new load profiles on the demand side. In order to expand the networks in a demand-oriented and cost-efficient manner, feed-in and demand must be considered equally and their quantities must be forecast reliably. Different expansion scenarios can quantitatively underpin their probable development.

Gas & Power Distribution: A selection of our services

Demand & Volume

Forecasts By means of demand and volume forecasts, we establish the quantitative basis for network planning for all energy carriers. For this, we apply our tried and tested bottom-up models. The results are then incorporated into our studies - for example scenario framework and expert reports. 

Network Modelling

We simulate electricity and gas flows in Germany and Europe using network models.

Process Management

As a project office, we handle the process management for network development planning: For transmission system operators, we take care of organising, moderating and documenting the process.

Public Participation & Consultations

In the context of public participation and consultations, we moderate stakeholder dialogues and advise our customers on their conceptual design.

Our work on this topic

Take a look at our latest projects and activities.

Gas balance: Saving efforts must be intensified

2023
| News

If savings continue to be as low as in January and February, the risk of a gas shortage will in-crease in the coming winter.

Gas consumption in Germany’s production sectors

2023
| Project

One potential building block: the Federal Network Agency commissioned Prognos to conduct a study that can support the necessary assessment in the case of gas shortages.

Accelerated climate protection does pay off

2023
| Project

If the expansion of renewable energy and the implementation of efficiency measures are ac-celerated, electricity prices will fall more quickly, and the GDP will grow faster. These were the findings of our short study for the INSM.

Mild weather in winter takes off the pressure

2023
| News

So far, Germany has made it through the winter with relatively little gas. But savings will still be necessary if a gas shortage is to be prevented.

Interview with the Neue Zürcher Zeitung

2022
| News

Energy expert Dr Almut Kirchner talks to the Neue Zürcher Zeitung about the Swiss energy system.

Disruption to gas supply – consequences for the brick industry

2022
| Project

A study of the production, value-added, and price effects on and through the brick and tile industry in Germany for the Federal Association of the German Brick and Tile Industry.

Electricity price forecast

2022
| Project

How will the price of electricity develop over the next few years? A scenario calculation of wholesale electricity prices for the vbw.

Gas shortfall less than expected, prices remain high

2022
| News

The gas reservoirs are full, and gas shortages are likely to be significantly less of a problem than feared. However, high gas prices have become almost too expensive for some companies to pay.

Status of the gas supply

2022
| News

What is the latest on the gas supply in Germany? How high is demand? How high are gas storage levels? What would the damage be to the German economy if delivery failed completely?

Innovation & Technology Centre for hydrogen

2021
| Project

The BMDV (Federal Ministry for Digital and Transport) wants to promote an innovation and technology centre for hydrogen. Prognos and their partner evaluate the concepts of four German regions and conduct feasibility studies.

Do you have questions?

Your contact at Prognos

Stefan Mellahn

Principal

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Hanno Falkenberg

Project Manager

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About us

Prognos – Providing Orientation.

Prognos is one of the oldest economic research centres in Europe. Founded at the University of Basel, Prognos experts have been conducting research for a wide range of clients from the public and private sectors since 1959 – politically independent, scientifically sound.

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