all projects

The future of
trust in digital worlds

Client

Federal Ministry of Education and Research

Year

2022

Partner

Z_punkt


The internet as we know it today could never have achieved its global success without the trust of the billions of people who go online. The internet of tomorrow will continue to open up new spaces and new communication possibilities. But equally, this will only be possible if people are willing to trust and explore these new, unknown spaces in the future.

(How) Will trust emerge in the digital worlds of tomorrow? Do we trust technology or only other people? These questions were investigated by a study as part of the Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF) Future Office, consisting of Prognos and Z_punkt.

Our approach

The “The Future of Trust in Digital Worlds” study first examines the scientific discourse on the topic of “trust” and derives conclusions for the digital worlds of tomorrow. What the digital sphere might look like in the future and how trust could form there is illustrated in six everyday stories from the future – so-called “Future Spotlights.”

Core results

  • Trust in the scientific sense means a social cultural technique used by people to deal with uncertainties in everyday life. The decision to trust is based on individual experience as well as the presumed intentions of the other person.
  • We rely on technology, but we trust (or not) other people, including those who develop technology or create technical offers.
  • The digital sphere requires greater levels of trust because our “counterpart” is virtual – and thus remains abstract.
  • We will probably be able to experience the digital worlds of the future more tangibly, in three dimensions. They will also manifest many more interfaces between the analogue and digital worlds than they do today. The interplay of new technologies will mean the boundaries of the analogue and digital world will be largely blurred.
  • A spatial web – also called Web 3.0 or the metaverse – is emerging. In such a web, new spaces for encounter and new forms of interaction could come into being, which would also produce new patterns and forms of trust building.

The study is released as one of the numerous results of the BMBF Future Office's work in the Foresight III process. Other research topics included, for example, the dissolution of boundaries between biology and technology or the future of values in Germany. In addition, workshops and similar working and dialogue formats take place, where various actors, such as citizens and futurologists, deal with foresight in a variety of ways. The Future Office is supervised by Prognos and Z_punkt on behalf of the Federal Ministry of Education and Research.

Links and downloads

Summary of the study in German (vorausschau.de)

Project team: Anna Hornik, Dr Christian Grünwald, Daniel Bonin, Jan Reichert, Marie-Kristin Komendzinski, Julian Sachs, Holger Glockner, Michael Astor

Last update: 12.08.2022

Do you have questions?

Your contact at Prognos

Dr Elena Aminova

Project Manager

View profile

Mehr Studien & Projekte zu diesem Thema

More studies & projects on this topic

Innovation Index Germany 2023

2024
| Project

Once again, Prognos has compiled the Innovation Index Germany on behalf of the Vodafone Institute for Society and Communications. The index quantifies the impact the expansion of Germany’s digital infrastructure has had on its innovation strength.

Dossier: The role of clusters in regional transformation processes

2023
| Project update

The dossier, which was created as part of the NRW.innovativ competence centre, highlights the role that cluster organisations play in the digital and green transformation in NRW.

Green Tech: Digital technologies and sustainability

ongoing
| Project

The Federal Ministry of Economics promotes digital technologies that drive forward the economy’s green transformation. Together with partners, we are responsible for the accompanying research.

Evaluation of Eurostars-2, the European SME support programme

2023
| Project

On behalf of the EU Commission, Prognos and its partners examined the Eurostars-2 SME fund-ing programme as part of the evaluation study of the European Framework Programmes Horizon 2020 and Horizon Europe.

Evaluation of EU funding programme for the development of digital solutions for older people

2022
| Project

Digital solutions can make life easier for older people. The EU's Active and Assisted Living Programme (AAL2) has actively contributed to the development of novel solutions.

Innovation strategy for the Hamburg Metropolitan Region

2022
| Project

Innovation is more and more frequently emerging across regions and industries. Together with IMP³ROVE, we developed a strategy for the Hamburg Metropolitan Region (MRH) including out-standing innovation projects.

Innovation Index Germany 2022

2022
| Project

How does the expansion of the digital infrastructure affect regional innovation strength? The IID.2022 provides clarification.

Blockchain in the creative industry

2022
| Project

Technology enables new business models for creative professionals. And offers solutions for key industry challenges.

Findings from the cluster dialogues: The NRW cluster panorama

2022
| Project update

The NRW Cluster Panorama defines five subject areas in which the greatest potential for the innovation ecosystem in NRW lies.

Hydrogen Innovation and Technology Centre (ITZ) is feasible

2022
| Project update

The Hydrogen Innovation and Technology Centre (ITZ) is feasible. Four locations form a network across Germany.

About us

Prognos – Providing Orientation.

Prognos is one of the oldest economic research centres in Europe. Founded at the University of Basel, Prognos experts have been conducting research for a wide range of clients from the public and private sectors since 1959 – politically independent, scientifically sound.

Learn more