Expertise

Mobility & Transport

Germany is in motion.

Mobility in Germany is transforming: traffic forecasts predict an increasing demand for both passenger and freight transport. Simultaneously, the transport system needs to become more sustainable to meet the environmental and climate targets. Strategies for smart cities and concepts for the “last mile” in urban areas, for example, help to shape the increasing transport of goods in a sustainable and city-compatible manner.

More than just a switch in drive technology

The subsidisation of electromobility and other alternative drive technologies is only one aspect of sustainable mobility. Our transport system is shaped by a variety of technological developments and social trends. Integrating digital and automated transport services into the overall system requires new strategies and the realignment of transport infrastructure.

New forms of mobility such as ridesharing, ridepooling and e-scooters are not the only factors changing mobility in rural and urban areas. Cycling is also central factor. How much funding should be allocated to the expansion of the cycle transport infrastructure, for example to transport goods by bike in the city centre? Operational mobility management can also make positive changes in people’s transport behaviours, in municipalities and companies. The key is combining economic efficiency and sustainability.

Key to a successful mobility transformation

To successfully transform transport and mobility, comprehensive strategies and substantiated technology impact assessments are essential. Only then can the effects of alternative drive technologies, digitisation and automation, and new mobility offers be evaluated.

Mobility & Transport: A selection of our services

Mobility strategies and concepts for companies, associations, and the public sector

We create urban logistics concepts and develop strategies on transport topics for federal and state authorities or municipalities.

Profitability calculations and expert opinions

We calculate the cost-effectiveness of alternative drives and conduct freight transport calculations. We also use sustainability indicators to assess transport infrastructure.

Scenarios for automating traffic

Using our traffic automation scenarios, we predict the mobility of tomorrow.

Analysis of forms of mobility and transport policy

We evaluate and analyse new forms of mobility such as on-demand transport, ride sharing, ride pooling, or e-scooters, as well as cycling.

Evaluation of mobility concepts and transport measures

The evaluation of business models or infrastructure measures in the transport sector is one of our primary business sectors, as is the accompanying research on new forms of mobility.

Public participation and consultations

We advise our clients on stakeholder participation and acceptance communication.

Our work on this topic

Take a look at our latest projects and activities.

Alternative transport scenario for Germany

2024
| Project

Environmental organisations have tasked Prognos with adapting selected assumptions from the Federal Ministry of Transport and Digital Infrastructure transport forecasts to facilitate climate-friendly transport development.

Climate-impacting transformation in the transport sector

ongoing
| Project

The latest geopolitical and economic developments present a challenge for the ecological transi-tion of transport. Prognos develops measures for the BMDV.

Reforming environmentally harmful subsidies

2023
| Project

On behalf of the Bertelsmann Stiftung, we examined the effects of phasing out climate damaging subsidies in the transport and industry sectors.

Innovations for the mobility and space transition in NRW

2023
| Project update

Mobility and spatial planning are key issues for the green economy. For this purpose, in cooperation with Prognos, the Kompetenznetzwerk Umweltwirtschaft.NRW compiled an innovation radar.

Sustainable end-of-life vehicle recycling

ongoing
| Project

Circular economy in practice: As part of the MaterialLoop project, we have been working with Audi and TSR on how more materials from end-of-life vehicles can be used in the production of new vehicles.

Evaluation and further development of the national Emissions Trading System (nETS)

2022
| Project

On behalf of the Federal Environment Agency, we are developing suitable approaches for the impact assessment of the nETS together with the FÖS and the DIW.

Impact of e-commerce on CO2 emissions and air pollution

2022
| Project

We examined retail transport chains for the EU Commission. For the environment, long-distance transport to the EU and the “last mile” play a crucial role.

Eleven measures to achieve 2030 climate target

2022
| Project

Germany risks not hitting its 2030 climate objectives. The Forum Ökologisch-Soziale Marktwirtschaft proposes eleven measures. We assessed their impact on climate protection in the transport and building sectors.

Munich’s Logistics Concept

ongoing
| Project

How can logistics transport in Munich be structured more considerately and sustainably? Together with KE Consult and SSP Consult we develop a logistics concept.

ADAC Mobility Index

ongoing
| Project

Transport demand is continuing to rise and there are various causes for this. But how can the consequences be managed and mobility be made sustainable? A science- and data-based as-sessment method.

International potential analysis of hydrogen technology for mobility solutions

2021
| Project

Hydrogen is considered a future source of energy in the transport sector. Prognos determined the framework conditions for hydrogen technologies in important international markets.

ADAC Mobility Index: Survey of Sustainable Mobility in Germany

2022
| Project update

For the first time, we have created a scientifically based data basis for the sustainable development of mobility in Germany for the ADAC - the result is the ADAC Mobility Index.

Swiss Transport Outlook 2050

2021
| Project

Transport levels will continue to increase in the future. This is shown in the Transport Outlook 2050 produced on behalf of the Federal Department of the Environment, Transport, Energy and Communication (UVEK).

Target paths to meet the climate goals in transport

2021
| Project

Which policy measures are required to achieve the 2030 climate targets for transport? Prognos answers these questions for environmental association, Transport & Environment, in “Target paths for transport.”

Prospects of the railway line Amsterdam – Noord Netherlands – Hamburg

2021
| Project

How would the expansion of the rail link between Amsterdam, Noord Netherlands and Hamburg affect socio-economic development? On behalf of the North Netherlands Region, we assessed the potentials.

City life of the future

ongoing
| Project

Prognos is part of the consortium of the BMI programme Model Projects Smart Cities (MPSC).

Prognos Charging Report 2020

2020
| Project

The Prognos Charging Report 2020 conducted on behalf of EnBW (Energie Baden-Württemberg) provides an overview of the status quo of charging infrastructure.

Globalization of the german automotive industry

2019
| Project

A policy brief for the Bertelsmann Stiftung uses the example of the German automotive industry to show the extent to which other countries directly and indirectly contribute value added to the production of this industry.

Analysis of climate paths in the transport sector 2030

2019
| Project

On behalf of BDI and BCG, Prognos has analysed how Germany can achieve its climate protection targets for 2030 in the transport sector. The result: decisive changes are needed.

Rail Link between Colmar und Freiburg

2019
| Project

A renewed rail link between Freiburg and Colmar via Breisach could transport between 3500 and 5900 passengers per day. This is the result of a feasibility study carried out by Prognos and Setec.

Automated driving spreads only slowly

2018
| Project

Automated driving will not be a mass phenomenon in the foreseeable future. This is the result of a study by Prognos AG on behalf of ADAC e.V.

Do you have questions?

Your contact at Prognos

Sven Altenburg

Principal, Head of Mobility & Transport

View profile

About us

Prognos – Providing Orientation.

Prognos is one of the oldest economic research centres in Europe. Founded at the University of Basel, Prognos experts have been conducting research for a wide range of clients from the public and private sectors since 1959 – politically independent, scientifically sound.

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