Expertise

Mobility & Transport

Germany is in motion.

Mobility in Germany is transforming: traffic forecasts predict an increasing demand for both passenger and freight transport. Simultaneously, the transport system needs to become more sustainable to meet the environmental and climate targets. Strategies for smart cities and concepts for the “last mile” in urban areas, for example, help to shape the increasing transport of goods in a sustainable and city-compatible manner.

More than just a switch in drive technology

The subsidisation of electromobility and other alternative drive technologies is only one aspect of sustainable mobility. Our transport system is shaped by a variety of technological developments and social trends. Integrating digital and automated transport services into the overall system requires new strategies and the realignment of transport infrastructure.

New forms of mobility such as ridesharing, ridepooling and e-scooters are not the only factors changing mobility in rural and urban areas. Cycling is also central factor. How much funding should be allocated to the expansion of the cycle transport infrastructure, for example to transport goods by bike in the city centre? Operational mobility management can also make positive changes in people’s transport behaviours, in municipalities and companies. The key is combining economic efficiency and sustainability.

Key to a successful mobility transformation

To successfully transform transport and mobility, comprehensive strategies and substantiated technology impact assessments are essential. Only then can the effects of alternative drive technologies, digitisation and automation, and new mobility offers be evaluated.

Mobility & transport: A selection of our services

Mobility strategies and concepts for companies, associations, and the public sector

We create urban logistics concepts and develop strategies on transport topics for federal and state authorities or municipalities.

Profitability calculations and expert opinions

We calculate the cost-effectiveness of alternative drives and conduct freight transport calculations. We also use sustainability indicators to assess transport infrastructure.

Scenarios for automating traffic

Using our traffic automation scenarios, we predict the mobility of tomorrow.

Analysis of forms of mobility and transport policy

We evaluate and analyse new forms of mobility such as on-demand transport, ride sharing, ride pooling, or e-scooters, as well as cycling.

Evaluation of mobility concepts and transport measures

The evaluation of business models or infrastructure measures in the transport sector is one of our primary business sectors, as is the accompanying research on new forms of mobility.

Public participation and consultations

We moderate stakeholder dialogues and advise our customers on their conception.

Our work on this topic

Take a look at our latest projects and activities.

Evaluation and further development of the national Emissions Trading System (nETS)

2022
| Project

On behalf of the Federal Environment Agency, we are developing suitable approaches for the impact assessment of the nETS together with the FÖS and the DIW.

Impact of e-commerce on CO2 emissions and air pollution

2022
| Project

We examined retail transport chains for the EU Commission. For the environment, long-distance transport to the EU and the “last mile” play a crucial role.

Eleven measures to achieve 2030 climate target

2022
| Project

Germany risks not hitting its 2030 climate objectives. The Forum Ökologisch-Soziale Marktwirtschaft proposes eleven measures. We assessed their impact on climate protection in the transport and building sectors.

Munich’s Logistics Concept

ongoing
| Project

How can logistics transport in Munich be structured more considerately and sustainably? Together with KE Consult and SSP Consult we develop a logistics concept.

ADAC Mobility Index: Survey of Sustainable Mobility in Germany

2022
| Project update

For the first time, we have created a scientifically based data basis for the sustainable development of mobility in Germany for the ADAC - the result is the ADAC Mobility Index.

Target paths to meet the climate goals in transport

2021
| Project

Which policy measures are required to achieve the 2030 climate targets for transport? Prognos answers these questions for environmental association, Transport & Environment, in “Target paths for transport.”

Prospects of the railway line Amsterdam – Noord Netherlands – Hamburg

2021
| Project

How would the expansion of the rail link between Amsterdam, Noord Netherlands and Hamburg affect socio-economic development? On behalf of the North Netherlands Region, we assessed the potentials.

City life of the future

ongoing
| Project

Prognos is part of the consortium of the BMI programme Model Projects Smart Cities (MPSC).

Prognos Charging Report 2020

2020
| Project

The Prognos Charging Report 2020 conducted on behalf of EnBW (Energie Baden-Württemberg) provides an overview of the status quo of charging infrastructure.

Globalization of the german automotive industry

2019
| Project

A policy brief for the Bertelsmann Stiftung uses the example of the German automotive industry to show the extent to which other countries directly and indirectly contribute value added to the production of this industry.

Do you have questions?

Your contact at Prognos

Sven Altenburg

Head of Mobility & Transport, Principal

View profile

About us

Prognos – Providing Orientation.

Prognos is one of the oldest economic research centres in Europe. Founded at the University of Basel, Prognos experts have been conducting research for a wide range of clients from the public and private sectors since 1959 – politically independent, scientifically sound.

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