Germany is in motion. Mobility in Germany is transforming: traffic forecasts predict an increasing demand for both passenger and freight transport. Simultaneously, the transport system needs to become more sustainable to meet the environmental and climate targets. Strategies for smart cities and concepts for the “last mile” in urban areas, for example, help to shape the increasing transport of goods in a sustainable and city-compatible manner. More than just a switch in drive technology The subsidisation of electromobility and other alternative drive technologies is only one aspect of sustainable mobility. Our transport system is shaped by a variety of technological developments and social trends. Integrating digital and automated transport services into the overall system requires new strategies and the realignment of transport infrastructure. New forms of mobility such as ridesharing, ridepooling and e-scooters are not the only factors changing mobility in rural and urban areas. Cycling is also central factor. How much funding should be allocated to the expansion of the cycle transport infrastructure, for example to transport goods by bike in the city centre? Operational mobility management can also make positive changes in people’s transport behaviours, in municipalities and companies. The key is combining economic efficiency and sustainability. Key to a successful mobility transformation To successfully transform transport and mobility, comprehensive strategies and substantiated technology impact assessments are essential. Only then can the effects of alternative drive technologies, digitisation and automation, and new mobility offers be evaluated. Mobility & Transport: A selection of our services Mobility strategies and concepts for companies, associations, and the public sector We create urban logistics concepts and develop strategies on transport topics for federal and state authorities or municipalities. Profitability calculations and expert opinions We calculate the cost-effectiveness of alternative drives and conduct freight transport calculations. We also use sustainability indicators to assess transport infrastructure. Scenarios for automating traffic Using our traffic automation scenarios, we predict the mobility of tomorrow. Analysis of forms of mobility and transport policy We evaluate and analyse new forms of mobility such as on-demand transport, ride sharing, ride pooling, or e-scooters, as well as cycling. Evaluation of mobility concepts and transport measures The evaluation of business models or infrastructure measures in the transport sector is one of our primary business sectors, as is the accompanying research on new forms of mobility. Public participation and consultations We advise our clients on stakeholder participation and acceptance communication. Our work on this topic Take a look at our latest projects and activities. German industry’s resilience and sovereignty 2025 | Project German industry is heavily dependent on raw materials and intermediate products from abroad, especially from China. Prognos analysed supply chains and developed recommendations for action. Read more Economic potential of the green tech sector in Bavaria 2024 | Project How powerful is the green tech industry in Bavaria? What is its economic significance? We examined these questions on behalf of the vbw using our envigos model. Read more Promoting the use of electric buses in local public transport 2024 | Project The German Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Energy has been funding the e-bus market ramp-up since 2018. Together with our partners, we have been investigating how effective this funding has been. Read more Conversion of the automotive industry: How employment is changing 2024 | Project The automotive industry is undergoing fundamental change. How does this effect employment? And what will it mean for the individual professions? We investigated this on behalf of the VDA. Read more ADAC Mobility Index 2024 2024 | Project Mobility in Germany is becoming increasingly sustainable. However, the transport sector is yet to achieve its national and international climate targets. The ADAC Mobility Index looks at the reasons why. Read more Evaluation of the "Smart Cities Model Projects" funding programme ongoing | Project Prognos evaluates the "Model Projects Smart Cities" (MPSC) funding programme as part of the Coordination and Transfer Office under the direction of the DLR Project Management Agency. Read more Industry Conference 2024 26. November 2024 | Event Together with the Alliance for the Future of Industry, the BMWK is organising the Industry Conference 2024, where Michael Astor will present initial interim findings from our study on the resilience and sovereignty of German industry. Read more Situation analysis of the mobility sector in the Braunschweig-Wolfsburg region 2023 | Project We examined an economic challenge of transformation for the mobility region. Read more Regulatory requirements for carbon accounting 2024 | Project Which carbon accounting requirements will businesses have to be aware of in the future and what, specifically, will present the greatest challenge? Read more Scenarios for calculating the cost of Germany’s transport transition 2024 | Project What level of investment will be required to ensure a climate-neutral transport sector by 2045? We calculated this on behalf of Agora Verkehrswende, based on three scenarios. Read more Decarbonisation of the automotive industry 2024 | Project Digitalisation, decarbonisation, electrification: The German automotive industry faces major challenges. Prognos led the accompanying research to the carbon assessment of the auto industry value chain, on behalf of the BMWK. Read more Electromobility standards 2024 | Project The electromobility of the future will interact with other intelligent systems. But for this to be possible digital technologies will have to be standardised. The study shows in which areas standardisation is particularly relevant and how standards are established. Read more Greenhouse gas effects of subsidies in Germany 2024 | Project The Federal Government has commissioned Prognos and other scientific institutes to analyse the climate impact of current state subsidies: Which measures are climate-damaging, which are climate-friendly? Read more Alternative transport scenario for Germany 2024 | Project Environmental organisations have tasked Prognos with adapting selected assumptions from the Federal Ministry of Transport and Digital Infrastructure transport forecasts to facilitate climate-friendly transport development. Read more Climate-impacting transformation in the transport sector ongoing | Project The latest geopolitical and economic developments present a challenge for the ecological transi-tion of transport. Prognos develops measures for the BMDV. Read more Reforming environmentally harmful subsidies 2023 | Project On behalf of the Bertelsmann Stiftung, we examined the effects of phasing out climate damaging subsidies in the transport and industry sectors. Read more Innovations for the mobility and space transition in NRW 2023 | Project update Mobility and spatial planning are key issues for the green economy. For this purpose, in cooperation with Prognos, the Kompetenznetzwerk Umweltwirtschaft.NRW compiled an innovation radar. Read more Sustainable end-of-life vehicle recycling 2023 | Project Circular economy in practice: As part of the MaterialLoop project, we have been working with Audi and TSR on how more materials from end-of-life vehicles can be used in the production of new vehicles. Read more Evaluation and further development of the national Emissions Trading System (nETS) 2022 | Project On behalf of the Federal Environment Agency, we are developing suitable approaches for the impact assessment of the nETS together with the FÖS and the DIW. Read more Impact of e-commerce on CO2 emissions and air pollution 2022 | Project We examined retail transport chains for the EU Commission. For the environment, long-distance transport to the EU and the “last mile” play a crucial role. Read more Green Economy Report North Rhine-Westphalia 2022 2022 | Project In its fourth edition, Prognos analyses the economic and ecological impact of the green economy in NRW. Read more Eleven measures to achieve 2030 climate target 2022 | Project Germany risks not hitting its 2030 climate objectives. The Forum Ökologisch-Soziale Marktwirtschaft proposes eleven measures. We assessed their impact on climate protection in the transport and building sectors. Read more Munich’s Logistics Concept ongoing | Project How can logistics transport in Munich be structured more considerately and sustainably? Together with KE Consult and SSP Consult we develop a logistics concept. Read more ADAC Mobility Index ongoing | Project Transport demand is continuing to rise and there are various causes for this. But how can the consequences be managed and mobility be made sustainable? A science- and data-based as-sessment method. Read more International potential analysis of hydrogen technology for mobility solutions 2021 | Project Hydrogen is considered a future source of energy in the transport sector. Prognos determined the framework conditions for hydrogen technologies in important international markets. Read more ADAC Mobility Index: Survey of Sustainable Mobility in Germany 2022 | Project update For the first time, we have created a scientifically based data basis for the sustainable development of mobility in Germany for the ADAC - the result is the ADAC Mobility Index. Read more Swiss Transport Outlook 2050 2021 | Project Transport levels will continue to increase in the future. This is shown in the Transport Outlook 2050 produced on behalf of the Federal Department of the Environment, Transport, Energy and Communication (UVEK). Read more Target paths to meet the climate goals in transport 2021 | Project Which policy measures are required to achieve the 2030 climate targets for transport? Prognos answers these questions for environmental association, Transport & Environment, in “Target paths for transport.” Read more Prospects of the railway line Amsterdam – Noord Netherlands – Hamburg 2021 | Project How would the expansion of the rail link between Amsterdam, Noord Netherlands and Hamburg affect socio-economic development? On behalf of the North Netherlands Region, we assessed the potentials. Read more Prognos Charging Report 2020 2020 | Project The Prognos Charging Report 2020 conducted on behalf of EnBW (Energie Baden-Württemberg) provides an overview of the status quo of charging infrastructure. Read more Globalization of the german automotive industry 2019 | Project A policy brief for the Bertelsmann Stiftung uses the example of the German automotive industry to show the extent to which other countries directly and indirectly contribute value added to the production of this industry. Read more Analysis of climate paths in the transport sector 2030 2019 | Project On behalf of BDI and BCG, Prognos has analysed how Germany can achieve its climate protection targets for 2030 in the transport sector. The result: decisive changes are needed. Read more Rail Link between Colmar und Freiburg 2019 | Project A renewed rail link between Freiburg and Colmar via Breisach could transport between 3500 and 5900 passengers per day. This is the result of a feasibility study carried out by Prognos and Setec. Read more Automated driving spreads only slowly 2018 | Project Automated driving will not be a mass phenomenon in the foreseeable future. This is the result of a study by Prognos AG on behalf of ADAC e.V. Read more Do you have questions? Your contact at Prognos Sven Altenburg Principal, Head of Mobility & Transport View profile Valentin Würth Consultant View profile About us Prognos – Providing Orientation. Prognos is one of the oldest economic research centres in Europe. Founded at the University of Basel, Prognos experts have been conducting research for a wide range of clients from the public and private sectors since 1959 – politically independent, scientifically sound. Learn more