Expertise

Economy & Labour

Developing change sustainably and with vision.

Today, the only constant for the economy and labour is change. (De-)Globalisation, demographic development, decarbonisation and digitalisation are constantly reshaping framework conditions – regionally, nationally and internationally. Geopolitical and trade cooperation are being put to the test, value and supply chains need to be reorganised while the urgently needed transformation to climate neutrality is only just beginning. In Germany, this is compounded by an ageing population.

This gives rise to many questions: can ecological solutions be combined with economic opportunities? Which sectors will prosper tomorrow and where will skilled labour become scarce? What does a labour market that promotes growth, prosperity, sustainability and social participation look like?

We facilitate change and transformation: with well-founded analyses and advice on all relevant topics from the fields of Macroeconomics, Work & Skilled Labour, Cohesion Policy, (De-)Globalisation as well Green Economy & Circular Economy.

Macroeconomics


The one constant in modern economies: change. In a dynamic environment, businesses and states must maintain an overview.

Work & Skilled Labour


Structural change, demography, digitalization – the labour market is undergoing massive change. Securing skilled labour is a central challenge.

Cohesion Policy


Structural and transformation policy make regions competitive and stimulate structural change by setting clear objectives and involving stakeholders.

(De-)Globalisation


The globalisation dynamic has been over for some time. We give orientation to industry and politics in uncertain times.

Green Economy & Circular Economy


Sustainable, decarbonised and circular – the green economy and circular economy unite ecological solutions with economic opportunities.

Our work on this topic

Take a look at our latest projects and activities.

Indicators of equal living conditions

ongoing
| Project

The establishment of equal living conditions in Germany is one of the goals being prioritised by the Federal Government. But how can the equivalence of living conditions be measured? Prognos develops a set of indicators.

Value added of German pharmaceutical exports

2023
| Project

Compared to other export sectors, German pharmaceutical exports show above-average levels of innovation and value-added intensity. However, the industry is falling behind in the global re-search competition. This is shown by a new study commissioned by Roche.

Climate path implementation in Baden-Württemberg

2024
| Project

In Baden-Württemberg, emissions are to be reduced by a further 23% by 2030. As part of a mul-ti-stage concept, Prognos examines the challenges and opportunities for action in the transfor-mation context.

New procurement markets for the Bavarian economy

2023
| Project

New procurement markets can help increase the resilience and efficiency of the German and Bavarian supply chains. The study quantifies the current procurement markets and those still yet to be further exploited.

The Circular Week 2023

-
| Event

From October 24th to 25th, Hanne Hagedorn will be in Warsaw for the Green Economy Network.NRW as part of the Circular Economy Week 2023.

Supply chains: no climate neutrality without raw materials

2023
| Project

Crises continue to put global trade routes at risk. This study by Prognos and partners indicates the measures necessary to secure strategically important supply chains.

The future of the automotive industry in Saarland

ongoing
| Project

The automotive industry continues to undergo fundamental change worldwide. How does this transformation affect the Saarland economy?

Internationalisation of the Baden-Württemberg environmental technology sector

2023
| Project

What are the biggest sales opportunities? How can the location gain visibility worldwide? Further development of the strategic foundations.

Increased gas prices and gas price brakes

2023
| Project

A study for the vbw on the impact of the gas price brake for Bavarian companies.

Effects of deglobalisation on Germany and Europe

2023
| Project

Increasing geopolitical tensions are endangering the world trading system. On behalf of the vbw, Prognos investigated possible consequences for the economy in Germany and the EU.

Securing skilled workers with the help of the Harnessing Talent Platform

ongoing
| Project

DG Regio's new platform aims to help EU regions develop strategies to attract talent. Prognos is, among other things, leading the knowledge generation.

Pension at 63 – Quo vadis?

2023
| Project

Retiring at 63 is very popular. In 2021 alone, more than 270,000 people took the option of early retirement. These were the findings of our study for the INSM.

Evaluation of the federal grants to GTAI

2022
| Project

The aim of Germany Trade and Invest (GTAI) is to promote German foreign trade. Prognos investigated whether they are using their budget effectively.

Purpose Economy model

2023
| Project

Could purpose become the model for business and society? We investigated this as part of our work for the Future Office and compared it with other scenarios.

Decarbonisation of raw materials industries in Germany

2022
| Project

A study for the Bertelsmann Stiftung shows which climate policy measures can best support the switch to low-emission production processes.

In danger: Objectives of the “Ampel-Koalition”

2023
| Project

A short new analysis shows to what extent the shortage of skilled workers threatens the central political projects of the Federal Government.

Evaluation of Complementary Independent Participation Counselling (EUTB)

2023
| Project

Together with the infas Institute for Applied Social Science and Prof. Dr. Gudrun Wansing, Prognos evaluated the available advice for persons with disabilities and their families over a five-year period.

Was it the West’s intention to isolate Russia economically? It did not succeed.

2023
| Project

Our new analysis shows: Trade with Russia has by no means completely collapsed.

Green Economy in Munich: Developments and potential

2023
| Project

The green economy is an important economic factor for the city of Munich and its surrounding area. On behalf of the Bavarian capital, Prognos analysed the current situation and the development perspectives for the sector.

Ressource efficiency in Bavaria

ongoing
| Project

Efforts to reduce the consumption of resources in the Bavarian economy must be increased. A Prognos study provides information on the status quo and the starting points for savings.

Just Transition Platform Conference: Carbon-Intensive Regions

| Event

Stakeholders of the European chemical industry exchange on their activities for a just transition towards climate neutrality.

Questions & answers on Prognos


Accompanying research on the FONA strategy

ongoing
| Project

The Research for Sustainability (FONA) funding programme is intended to contribute to the achievement of the UN Sustainable Development Goals. Will this target be achieved and which methods can be used to measure this? We investigate this together with partners for the BMBF.

Gas consumption in Germany’s production sectors

2023
| Project

One potential building block: the Federal Network Agency commissioned Prognos to conduct a study that can support the necessary assessment in the case of gas shortages.

Ecological transformation and the labour market in Schleswig-Holstein

ongoing
| Project

How many specialists will Schleswig-Holstein need to implement its climate protection measures? What are the key professions necessary for successful implementation?

DG REGIO – Evaluation of the European Green Deal

ongoing
| Project

How effective has the EU cohesion policy been in driving green change in Europe? This and other questions are being investigated jointly with COWI, Milieu, and CSIL, on behalf of the European Commission (DG REGIO).

Webinar: Monitoring the Transition to Circular Economy

| Event

Jannis Lambert and Tim Bichlmeier talk about monitoring concepts for the Circular Economy and present a self-assessment tool.

Dutch Circular Economy Week: Workshop on circular business models

| Event

Greta Dekker presents the work of the Green Economy Network (KNUW) and introduces participants to circular business models using a learning game.

Germany’s business model 2023

2023
| Project

Why politicians and companies need to act consistently - and how they can do so. Joint study with BayernLB.

Are globalization and Germany’s business model on the way out?


Why policymakers and companies need to act decisively – and how they can ensure future success. Joint study with BayernLB.

Inflation – extra burden and relief for family households

2022
| Project

Calculations on inflation-related additional private household expenditure and the work of the Federal Government's relief package.

KreativLand Baden-Württemberg

ongoing
| Project

Creatives in the countryside? We want to make creative potential and innovative impulses visible. To this end, we are supporting the KreativLand Baden-Württemberg model project, as a scientific partner.

The effects of Chinese subsidies on Germany

2022
| Project

Prognos examined the potential impact of Chinese subsidy practices on Germany in three core sectors of the German economy.

Benefits of Covid testing for the Swiss economy and the healthcare system

2022
| Project

Testing for Covid interrupted chains of infection, relieved the burden on the health system, and supported the economy. We quantified these effects for Roche Diagnostics Switzerland.

Resilient supply chains in the EU

2022
| Project

What are possible solutions when supply chains are disrupted due to external shocks? A survey conducted for the European Commission as part of the European Cluster Collaboration Platform provides answers.

Green Economy Report North Rhine-Westphalia 2022

2022
| Project

In its fourth edition, Prognos analyses the economic and ecological impact of the green economy in NRW.

Innovation Index Germany 2022

2022
| Project

How does the expansion of the digital infrastructure affect regional innovation strength? The IID.2022 provides clarification.

Just Transition Platform: Meeting of the Working Group on Chemicals

| Event

At the meeting of the JTP Working Group on Chemicals, proposals will be discussed to help EU regions with a strong chemical industry make a just transition to climate neutrality.

Zukunftsatlas 2022


Ranking for Germany’s regions

Disruption to gas supply – consequences for the brick industry

2022
| Project

A study of the production, value-added, and price effects on and through the brick and tile industry in Germany for the Federal Association of the German Brick and Tile Industry.

Impact of counterfeit products on global value added

2022
| Project

How high are the losses to global value added caused by product and brand piracy? We calculated this as a contribution to a study.

No generational conflict: Young and old are primarily looking for security.

2022
| Project

Study compares “boomers” and Generation Z: high need for security for young and old alike.

Blockchain in the creative industry

2022
| Project

Technology enables new business models for creative professionals. And offers solutions for key industry challenges.

Green finance's contribution to achieving climate neutrality in Germany

2022
| Project

What is the public share of climate protection investment? An investigation for the KfW.

Estimation of costs resulting from climate change in Germany

2023
| Project

Heatwave, drought, floods – for the BMWK and BMUV we have systematically combined the quantifiable costs of extreme weather events in Germany since 2000 and supplemented them with detailed studies.

Cross-innovation success factors for the cultural and creative industries

2022
| Project

Interdisciplinary cooperation and innovation are characteristic of the cultural and creative industries. Prognos investigated which factors promote cross-industry cooperation.

Halt to Russian gas supply – consequences for German industry

2022
| Project

A new scenario commissioned by the vbw (Bavarian Industry Association) shows what German industry could face if Russia stopped supplying gas.

The Swiss-European economic success story in danger

2022
| Project

In the absence a framework agreement, the temporary agreements between the EU and Switzerland will gradually expire. Our study for the Bavarian Industry Association (vbw) determines the possible economic consequences.

The importance of the German economy for the EU

2022
| Project

Through intensive trade relations with EU states, the German economy is an important driver of economic development in the EU.

vbw-OnlineCongress & Political Dialogue Brussels: The Importance of German Economy for Europe

| Event

Dr Michael Böhmer presents the results of the study "The Importance of the German Economy for Europe" for the first time.

We take you further.

Our services.

We provide high quality work. Using sound methods, we analyse economic and political developments. For projects and processes, we provide solution-oriented and empathetic support. We have over 60 years of experience in a wide range of disciplines and provide consultancy with vision and expertise.

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