all projects

Future governance of EU Cohesion Policy after 2027

Client

Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Climate Protection (BMWK)

Year

2024

Partner

DLR-PT, Taurus ECO Consulting


Strong centralisation is not recommended: Our study, based on stakeholder surveys and interviews with experts, shows what the future distribution of European structural funds should look like. The results make it clear that the multi-level governance approach (EU, federal government, federal states) is still considered sensible.

The Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Climate Protection (BMWK) commissioned Prognos, DLR Projektträger and Taurus Eco Consulting to support it in the future orientation of European structural funding from the perspective of the federal and state governments.

As part of the project, relevant issues relating to the future implementation, management and administration of European structural funds were analysed using a participatory approach. Based on these findings, the BMWK will develop its position for the negotiations for the 2028 to 2034 funding period.

How should the distribution of EU funds for structural support be organised in future?

Europe’s regions are facing significant transformation challenges. The European Union is supporting them in tackling these challenges. By providing various structural funds, it strengthens economic, social and territorial cohesion and reduces regional imbalances between the European regions. These include the European Social Fund (ESF) and the European Regional Development Fund (ERDF).

In order to shed light on key aspects of the implementation, management and governance of the structural funds, with a focus on ERDF funding, in the federal states, we surveyed the administrative authorities of the federal states as well as relevant stakeholders from science, business and civil society. The aim is to make future programmes and funding guidelines even more targeted, effective and simple.

The most important findings of our study:

  • Cohesion policy plays a decisive role for regional economic development in Germany. It should continue to be implemented within the tried and tested multi-level governance framework (EU, federal government, federal states) with the shared management approach. Strong centralisation is not recommended.
  • The governance system of cohesion policy serves as a model for other economic policy programmes. It convinces through active programme planning, the involvement of stakeholders in monitoring committees and an effective evaluation system.
  • In order to effectively combat regional inequalities, the interplay between EU cohesion policy and funding measures at federal and state level is crucial. Coordination with other EU instruments such as Horizon Europe also plays an important role at regional level.
  • An important building block in the organisation of cohesion policy is cross-regional cooperation both within Germany and across borders. This can be achieved through joint RIS3 processes or through active use of the Interreg programmes.
  • The closer linking of cohesion policy measures with structural reforms can further develop the institutional and regulatory conditions. In federal systems such as the Federal Republic of Germany, however, competences are distributed differently. A new governance approach is therefore required that systematically translates local and regional reform needs into legislative reform projects at state and federal level.
  • In order to increase the efficiency of cohesion policy, options such as performance-based reimbursements, simplified cost models and increased digitalisation of processes continue to be available.
  • Better implementation could also be achieved through scaled funding that provides targeted, multi-stage support for high-risk projects. Tax incentives for research and innovative procurement also help.

Our approach

Based on the expertise of science and practice, we worked together with DLR Projektträger and Taurus Eco Consulting to develop recommendations for action for future-proof governance and implementation of cohesion policy. The following methods were applied:

  • Six thematic online workshops with state representatives, in particular ERDF managing authorities
  • Nationwide online survey to involve further stakeholders
  • Expert workshop in Berlin
  • Literature and document analyses
  • Case analyses

The results will help the BMWK to prepare a joint statement by the federal and state governments. This contains proposals for a reformed cohesion policy, which is to be presented to the European Commission at the end of the year.  

Links and downloads

To the study (PDF)

Further information (BMWK press release, german)

Results of the stakeholder consultation (BMWK press release, german)

Project team: Holger Bornemann, Dr Jan-Philipp Kramer, Ralph Rautenberg

Latest update: 09.12.2024

News from the project

Forum on the Future of Cohesion Policy

| Event

At the invitation of the Bertelsmann Stiftung, Dr. Jan-Philipp Kramer will participate in an expert forum with representatives from EU institutions, regions, and academia to discuss the future of cohesion policy.

Expert roundtable on the European Investment Bank (EIB) support to Cohesion Policy

| Event

Dr. Jan-Philipp Kramer will participate in the Expert Roundtable with selected representatives from EU institutions and networks to discuss priorities for cohesion policy post-2027 and the optimization of EIB support.

A more centralised and sectoral post-27 cohesion policy?

| Event

Will a more centralised and sectoral approach reshape the EU's regional development? Prognos and EURADA invite you to discuss this with experts on regional development and cohesion policy.

Cohesion Policy beyond 2027

| Event

Dr Jan-Philipp Kramer will discuss the results of our study on the future governance of European cohesion policy with representatives from politics, science and practice. Prognos is a co-organiser.

Do you have questions?

Your contact at Prognos

Dr Jan-Philipp Kramer

Partner, Head of EU Services

View profile

Holger Bornemann

Partner, Director

View profile

Ralph Rautenberg

Principal

View profile

Mehr Studien & Projekte zu diesem Thema

More studies & projects on this topic

Mid-term evaluation of the Single Market Programme (SMP)

2025
| Project

The Single Market Programme promotes the EU internal market in order to strengthen it, standardise it and make it more competitive. Prognos was involved in the mid-term evaluation of the programme.

Socially just transition to climate neutrality in the EU

ongoing
| Project

To facilitate the transition to a climate-neutral economy, Prognos is supporting the European Commission in implementing the European Fair Transition Observatory (EFTO).

Living conditions of refugees with disabilities in Germany

ongoing
| Project

How do refugees with disabilities live in Germany? And how can they find work? We are addressing these issues in a study for the German Red Cross.

Data for environmental policy: core economic sectors redefined

2025
| Project

Prognos developed a methodology for Eurostat for regular data collection for the European Environmental Goods and Services Sector (EGSS).

Mid-term evaluation of the Programme Interreg Bavaria-Czech Republic 2021-2027

2025
| Project

We conducted a mid-term evaluation of the Programme Interreg Bavaria-Czech Republic 2021-2027 on behalf of the Bavarian State Ministry of Economic Affairs, Regional Development and Energy.

Strengthening European cohesion policy through REGIO Peer2Peer

ongoing
| Project

The Peer2Peer communities are a network of representatives from regional and national authorities in all EU Member States. Prognos recently took over the management of the Circular Economy Community.

Industrial clusters for net-zero technologies in the European Union

ongoing
| Project

As part of the Net-Zero Industry Act, we are working with our partners to conceptualise Net-Zero Acceleration Valleys for the European Commission.

Pension provision: Five ideas for higher pensions for women

2025
| Project

On average, women receive significantly lower pensions than men. Our study for the GDV shows how they can strengthen their retirement provision.

The Zukunftsatlas 2025 is here

2025
| Expertise

Does your region have a future? The new Prognos Zukunftsatlas has answers. Exclusively published in the Handelsblatt on July 4.

Green Tech Atlas 2025

2025
| Project

On behalf of the Federal Ministry for the Environment, Prognos compiled the Green Tech Atlas 2025. The atlas provides a comprehensive overview of the cross-sectional environmental tech-nology and resource efficiency industries.

About us

Prognos – Providing Orientation.

Prognos is one of the oldest economic research centres in Europe. Founded at the University of Basel, Prognos experts have been conducting research for a wide range of clients from the public and private sectors since 1959 – politically independent, scientifically sound.

Learn more