all models & tools

Models & Tools


Unique: the Prognos models.

Reliable analyses and forecasts up to 40 years into the future – this is what Prognos stands for. For this, our experts have developed specific high-performance instruments: the technical-economic Prognos models. They allow us to answer very different, challenging system-related questions in the fields of economics, social welfare, energy and transport.

The Prognos models landscape

The technical-economic Prognos models can be interlinked depending on the question and make interdisciplinary aspects of a topic visible. This graphic shows how the models are interlinked:


The strengths of our models

  • Refined. Over 40 years of model work have shaped our model portfolio into what it is today. The Prognos models successfully compete with other models from science and consulting.
  • Interlinked. Our sub-models can be linked with each other depending on the issue at hand and thus depict interactions as well as overarching and integrated aspects.
  • Scientific. Our modelling is based on precise knowledge of how the respective segment and its dynamics work.
  • Tried-and-tested. We have been using models for decades, dealing with recurring issues. This allows us to check the results retrospectively and to constantly refine our models.
  • Resilient. We map the interactions and dynamics in the respective segments with well-founded arguments and underpin our results with sensitivity calculations.
  • Flexible. New questions require new approaches. Our models are modular to a large extent and can be extended or adapted to specific questions.
Our work in this field

Background paper for a buildings strategy for climate neutrality

| Project

How can existing buildings become climate-neutral by 2045? On behalf of the BMWK, we devel-oped scenarios and develop measures.

Inflation – extra burden and relief for family households

| Project

Calculations on inflation-related additional private household expenditure and the work of the Federal Government's relief package.

Electricity price forecast

| Project

How will the price of electricity develop over the next few years? A scenario calculation of wholesale electricity prices for the vbw.

Halt to Russian gas supply – consequences for German industry

| Project

A new scenario commissioned by the vbw (Bavarian Industry Association) shows what German industry could face if Russia stopped supplying gas.

Roadmap Energieeffizienz 2045

| Project

Klimaneutralität lässt sich nur mit einer höheren Energieeffizienz erreichen. Das Dialogforum „Roadmap Energieeffizienz 2050“ der Bundesregierung erarbeitet konkrete Maßnahmen.

Climate-Neutral Germany 2045

| Project

Together with the Öko-Institut and the Wuppertal Institute, we have investigated how Germany can achieve its climate targets even before 2050.

Energieperspektiven Schweiz 2050+

| Project

Wie kann ein klimaneutrales Energiesystem in der Schweiz im Jahr 2050 aussehen? Für das Bundesamt für Energie hat Prognos die Energieperspektiven 2050+ modelliert.

Energiewirtschaftliche Projektionen 2030/2050

| Project

Im Auftrag des Bundeswirtschaftsministeriums hat Prognos ermittelt, ob das Klimaschutzpaket der Bundesregierung ausreicht, um die Klimaziele Deutschlands bis 2030 zu erreichen.

Auswirkungen des gesetzlichen Mindestlohns auf die Rentenentwicklung

| Project

Hat(te) der gesetzliche Mindestlohn Einfluss auf Rentenentwicklung und individuelle Rentenansprüche? Dem ist Prognos im Auftrag der Mindestlohnkommission nachgegangen.

Your topics – our expertise.

You are engaged in relevant topics and future issues from the economy, politics or society? So are we! Learn more about our expertise.

See all topics

Feel free to contact us.

Dr Almut Kirchner

Partner, Director

+41 61 32 73 331

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