Unique: the Prognos models. Reliable analyses and forecasts up to 40 years into the future – this is what Prognos stands for. For this, our experts have developed specific high-performance instruments: the technical-economic Prognos models. They allow us to answer very different, challenging system-related questions in the fields of economics, social welfare, energy and transport. The Prognos models landscape The technical-economic Prognos models can be interlinked depending on the question and make interdisciplinary aspects of a topic visible. This graphic shows how the models are interlinked: The strengths of our models Refined. Over 40 years of model work have shaped our model portfolio into what it is today. The Prognos models successfully compete with other models from science and consulting. Interlinked. Our sub-models can be linked with each other depending on the issue at hand and thus depict interactions as well as overarching and integrated aspects. Scientific. Our modelling is based on precise knowledge of how the respective segment and its dynamics work. Tried-and-tested. We have been using models for decades, dealing with recurring issues. This allows us to check the results retrospectively and to constantly refine our models. Resilient. We map the interactions and dynamics in the respective segments with well-founded arguments and underpin our results with sensitivity calculations. Flexible. New questions require new approaches. Our models are modular to a large extent and can be extended or adapted to specific questions. Our work in this field Climate Neutral Germany – From Target Setting to Implementation 2024 | Project How can Germany as an industry location achieve net zero by 2045, whilst still maintaining its competitiveness? This study updates our 2021 calculations made on behalf of Agora Think Tanks. Read more Modellierungsgutachten für die Carbon-Management-Strategie laufend | Project Prognos wurde von der dena damit beauftragt, im Rahmen der Carbon-Management-Strategie der deutschen Bundesregierung den Einsatz von CCU/S in Deutschland bis 2045 in drei Szenarien zu modellieren. Read more Analyse und Evaluation des Gesamtdeutschen Fördersystems (GFS) 2025 | Project Prognos analysierte im Auftrag des BMWK die Raumwirksamkeit des Gesamtdeutschen Fördersystems für strukturschwache Regionen (GFS) und evaluierte dieses im Hinblick auf die Herstellung gleichwertiger Lebensverhältnisse. Read more The future of the automotive industry in Saarland ongoing | Project The automotive industry continues to undergo fundamental change worldwide. How does this transformation affect the Saarland economy? Read more Climate protection investments for the transformation of the energy system 2024 | Project On behalf of the Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Climate Action, we calculated the investments that will be required to restructure capital stock in the course of the envisaged net zero transition. Read more Alternative transport scenario for Germany 2024 | Project Environmental organisations have tasked Prognos with adapting selected assumptions from the Federal Ministry of Transport and Digital Infrastructure transport forecasts to facilitate climate-friendly transport development. Read more Significance of the German economy for Europe 2024 | Project Growth in the German economy benefits the whole of Europe. Our study for the vbw shows that this is due to the size of the economy and its strong foreign trade networks. Read more Germany Potential Index: Digitalisation to counter the skilled-worker shortage 2024 | Project The skilled-worker shortage is only due to get worse in the future. Our Potential Index shows: Increased digitalisation can help to cushion the negative consequences of the skilled-worker shortage in Germany. Read more Fachkräftemangel in Dortmund bis 2035 2024 | Project Gesundheit, Erziehung und Dekarbonisierung – besonders in diesen Bereichen verschärft sich künftig der Fachkräftemangel in Dortmund. Das zeigen unsere Berechnungen für die Wirtschaftsförderung Dortmund. Read more Effects of deglobalisation on Germany and Europe 2023 | Project Increasing geopolitical tensions are endangering the world trading system. On behalf of the vbw, Prognos investigated possible consequences for the economy in Germany and the EU. Read more Prognos Economic Outlook® (PEO®) ongoing | Project In uncertain times, there is a growing demand for orientation. PEO® delivers independent figures. Based on our wolrd economy model we project the developments until 2045. Read more Natural gas as a bridge to climate neutrality in Germany 2023 | Project How has the role of gas changed as a result of the gas crisis? Our energy team explored this question on behalf of the KfW. Read more Situation analysis of the mobility sector in the Braunschweig-Wolfsburg region 2023 | Project We examined an economic challenge of transformation for the mobility region. Read more Pension at 63 – Quo vadis? 2023 | Project Retiring at 63 is very popular. In 2021 alone, more than 270,000 people took the option of early retirement. These were the findings of our study for the INSM. Read more Background paper for a buildings strategy for climate neutrality 2023 | Project How can existing buildings become climate-neutral by 2045? On behalf of the BMWK, we developed scenarios and measures. Read more Inflation – extra burden and relief for family households 2022 | Project Calculations on inflation-related additional private household expenditure and the work of the Federal Government's relief package. Read more Electricity price forecast 2022 | Project How will the price of electricity develop over the next few years? A scenario calculation of wholesale electricity prices for the vbw. Read more Halt to Russian gas supply – consequences for German industry 2022 | Project A new scenario commissioned by the vbw (Bavarian Industry Association) shows what German industry could face if Russia stopped supplying gas. Read more Energy Efficiency Roadmap 2045 ongoing | Project Climate neutrality can only be achieved through higher energy efficiency. The German govern-ment's “Energy Efficiency Roadmap 2050” dialogue forum prepares concrete measures. Read more Climate-Neutral Germany 2045 2021 | Project Together with the Öko-Institut and the Wuppertal Institute, we have investigated how Germany can achieve its climate targets even before 2050. Read more Energy Perspectives Switzerland 2050+ 2021 | Project What might a climate-neutral energy system in Switzerland look like in 2050? Prognos modelled the Energy Perspectives 2050+ on behalf of the Swiss Federal Office of Energy. Read more Energy projections 2030/2050 2020 | Project On behalf of the Federal Ministry of Economics, Prognos has determined whether the Federal Government’s climate protection package will be enough for Germany to achieve its climate targets by 2030. Read more Wage income developments 2025 2020 | Project If German economic productivity increases, not every individual benefits to the same extent. These are the results of our study commissioned by the Bertelsmann Stiftung. Read more Effects of the statutory minimum wage on pension development 2020 | Project Does the statutory minimum wage have an influence on pension development and individual pension entitlements? Prognos investigated this on behalf of the Minimum Wage Commission. Read more Care Perspective. Reorientation of the elderly care profession 2019 | Project The annual expenditure of social long-term care insurance will continue to increase in the coming decades according to the results of a Prognos study for the Bertelsmann Foundation. Read more Your topics – our expertise. You are engaged in relevant topics and future issues from the economy, politics or society? So are we! Learn more about our expertise. See all topics Feel free to contact us. Dr Almut Kirchner Partner, Director +41 61 32 73 331 almut.kirchner@prognos.com Go to profile Your name Phone Email address Your message Data protection notice Yes, I consent to Prognos processing the personal data I have provided above in order to best address the request I have made. I can revoke my consent at any time with effect for the future by sending an e-mail to info@prognos.com. You can find further information in our data protection declaration. CAPTCHA Get new captcha! What code is in the image? Enter the characters shown in the image. This security question checks whether you are human and prevents automated spamming.