Megatrends are shaping the future working environment. Structural changes, globalisation, demography and technological progress will shape future work environments. Demands to the workforce and working conditions are facing massive changes, and societal trends, such as an aging population, shifting preferences within education and new normative ideas of work are showing their effects. Skilled labour shortage in Germany Mismatches between labour supply and labour demand create imbalances on the labour market, likely resulting in unemployment or lack of skilled workers. Shortages of skilled workers can already be seen in certain sectors and regions of Germany, where the current supply of qualified workers does not meet the demand. Demographic change will exacerbate this problem. Conversely, certain sectors in fact have more skilled labour than is needed. The availability of skilled labour as a political challenge It remains a key political challenge to ensure both employment and skilled labour are available. Only a balanced labour market can facilitate growth, prosperity and social inclusion. How will the different areas within the labour market develop? What are the consequences of these developments for associations, trade unions, employment agencies, educational institutions, employers and employees? In which areas are targeted measures most efficient? Complex developments like these require interdisciplinary coping strategies. Prerequisites for this are: Comprehensive technical and methodological expertise in areas such as labour market, education, employment, qualification and human resource management. Work & Skilled Labour: A selection of our services Analyses for the working world of the future We use qualitative and quantitative forecasts as well as scenarios to shed light on the work environments of the future and its effects on the overall economy, on sectors, regions and occupations as well as individual players such as associations, companies, trade unions and educational institutions. Labour market forecasts and model-based scenarios With our skilled labour model, we forecast how the development of supply and demand will evolve as well as the outcomes of measures to secure the availability of skilled workers. Strategy development and implementation planning Our technical expertise from the areas of economics, education and social protection – coupled with our model-based scenarios – underpin not only our approaches on how to avoid shortages of skilled workers, but also our counsel on (political) strategy development and implementation planning. Consulting for employer branding and human resources management Our employer branding strategies and advice on prospective human resource management support employers in the public sector. Our work on this topic Take a look at our latest projects and activities. Where does Germany's economy really stand? 2023 | News Why it’s time for Germany to take an honest look at itself. A guest commentary in the WirtschaftsWoche by Dr Michael Böhmer. Read more Pension at 63 – Quo vadis? 2023 | Project Retiring at 63 is very popular. In 2021 alone, more than 270,000 people took the option of early retirement. These were the findings of our study for the INSM. Read more Just Transition Platform Conference: Carbon-Intensive Regions 2023-04-27 | Event Stakeholders of the European chemical industry exchange on their activities for a just transition towards climate neutrality. Read more Ecological transformation and the labour market in Schleswig-Holstein ongoing | Project How many specialists will Schleswig-Holstein need to implement its climate protection measures? What are the key professions necessary for successful implementation? Read more Just Transition Platform: Meeting of the Working Group on Chemicals 2022-10-26 | Event At the meeting of the JTP Working Group on Chemicals, proposals will be discussed to help EU regions with a strong chemical industry make a just transition to climate neutrality. Read more No generational conflict: Young and old are primarily looking for security. 2022 | Project Study compares “boomers” and Generation Z: high need for security for young and old alike. Read more The importance of the German economy for the EU 2022 | Project Through intensive trade relations with EU states, the German economy is an important driver of economic development in the EU. Read more Just Transition Platform Meeting: Coal Regions in Transition 2022-05-11 | Event Dr Jan-Philipp Kramer speaks at the fifth Just Transition Platform Meeting. Read more Support of the Just Transition Platform to the Green Deal ongoing | Project Through the Just Transition Platform, the EU supports countries in achieving their climate goals. Prognos helps manage this platform with analytics and knowledge management. Read more Das Bildungsgrundeinkommen – ein Instrument der Weiterbildungsfinanzierung 2021 | Project Das Zentrum Liberale Moderne macht einen Vorschlag, die Weiterbildungsfinanzierung auf neue Grundlagen zu stellen. Prognos hat die Kosten des neuen Instrumentes in einer Studie abgeschätzt. Read more Industries during the pandemic: The pharmaceutical industry is crisis-resistant 2021 | Project The study shows that the pharmaceutical industry makes an important contribution to value creation and employment in Germany and stabilised the state of the German economy during the crisis-related slump in 2020. Read more Jobs in the building sector can cushion pandemic job losses 2021 | Project The study shows how the high demand for skilled workers in the building sector can mitigate the negative impact of the pandemic on the labour market. The industry is thus contributing to the stabilisation of the labour market and to the success of the energy transition. Read more Work Landscape 2025 2019 | Project The "Labor Landscape" study series has been providing an overview of the development of labor demand and labor supply in Germany since 2008. Read more Digital transformation in the workplace of the European Chemicals Sector 2019 | Project As part of a social partnership project for the ECEG and industriAll European Trade Union, the study examines the effects of innovation and digital transformation on the workplace in the chemical industry on a Europe-wide scale. Read more Germany Report 2025|2035|2045 2018 | Project Germany will become more global, more digital, greener and older in the next 30 years. This is shown by Prognos Deutschland Report from 2018/2019. Read more Attracting and retaining skilled workers in early education 2018 | Project By the year 2030 there will be a shortage of around 199,000 educators throughout Germany. This is shown by a Prognos study for the Federal Ministry of Family Affairs. Read more Strategies to combat the skilled-worker shortage in nursing care 2018 | Project Which strategies can be used to tackle the shortage of skilled workers in nursing care for the elderly? This question is the subject of a Prognos study commissioned by the Bertelsmann Stiftung. Read more Do you have questions? Your contact at Prognos Susanne Heinzelmann Vice Director, Head of Education & Employment View profile Markus Hoch Senior Project Manager View profile Claudia Münch Principal View profile About us Prognos – Providing Orientation. Prognos is one of the oldest economic research centres in Europe. Founded at the University of Basel, Prognos experts have been conducting research for a wide range of clients from the public and private sectors since 1959 – politically independent, scientifically sound. Learn more