all projects

transformation in the
transport sector


Federal Ministry of Transport and Digital Infrastructure (BMDV)




IKEM, ifeu, DLR, Guidehouse, SSP

The geopolitical and economic developments of the last few years have led to changed and even more uncertain framework conditions for a climate-impacting transformation in the transport sector.

In terms of the drive turnaround, significant supply chains have faltered. Cost and price developments have proved to be challenging with partially unexpected impacts on production and demand. The requirements and measures for the transport transition are increasingly becoming a matter for public discussion in terms of their economic and social impact.

The future of transport in Germany

In the future, the transport sector will continue to be influenced by a wide variety of impact chains ranging from technological advances and changes in relative energy prices to developments in society as a whole. Strategies for the elaboration and further development of the bundles of measures that support the climate-impacting transformation of the transport sector will need to be as dynamic as they are foresighted.

Framework measures should be as barrier specific, complementary, and cost-effective as possible. When designing measures, increasing emphasis is being placed on aspects of equity to ensure access to transport and the accessibility of destinations for all members of our society (e. g., gender, families, older people) and in all areas (e. g., urban/rural, “East” and “West”) on the one hand, and a fair distribution of transformation costs among all stakeholders (e. g., companies, citizens) on the other.

Newly designing measures for increased transport equity

As part of a three-year project, consortium leader Prognos, together with the Institute for Climate Protection, Energy and Mobility (IKEM), the German Aerospace Center, Guidehouse and the SSP of the Federal Ministry of Transport and Digital Infrastructure (BMDV), has assembled a team of fast-reacting experts.

As part of an iterative, learning, transparent and interactive process the team will be elaborating and evaluating measures and bundles of measures. Each of the team’s partners represents a high level of scientific excellence and long years of consulting experience. Together, with their methods, models, and networks they are able to cover the complete range of topics.

Project team: Sven Altenburg, Alex Auf der Maur

Last update: 21.11.23

Do you have questions?

Your contact at Prognos

Sven Altenburg

Principal, Head of Mobility & Transport

View profile

Alex Auf der Maur

Senior Project Manager

View profile

Mehr Studien & Projekte zu diesem Thema

More studies & projects on this topic

Electricity grid expansion makes headway

| Project

For over 15 years now Prognos has been bringing together the actors concerned by the expansion of the electricity grid and facilitating dialogue between them – from the Danish to the Swiss bor-der.

Support for the Just Transition Platform

| Project

Through the Just Transition Platform (JTP), the EU supports the member states and regions in achieving their climate targets in a fair manner. Prognos provided the JTP with in-depth analyses and knowledge management.

12th Energy Transition Monitoring

| Project

The energy transition is still lagging behind its goals – such are the findings of our 12th Monitoring Report. In two of the four areas, the lights remain on red.

Annual Energy Transition Monitoring

| Project

What is the status of the energy transition in Germany? Since 2012, Prognos has been monitoring the energy transition in Bavaria and Germany on behalf of the vbw.

German energy market design

| Project

In the coming years new renewable power plants will have to be built – but also flexible gas power plants, which can be used when required. We examined various incentive instruments on behalf of the vbw.

Alternative transport scenario for Germany

| Project

Environmental organisations have tasked Prognos with adapting selected assumptions from the Federal Ministry of Transport and Digital Infrastructure transport forecasts to facilitate climate-friendly transport development.

Ex-post analysis of energy consumption in Switzerland 2022

| Project update

Final energy consumption in Switzerland for the year 2022 was around 4 percent less than in the year 2021. Mobility (32 percent) accounted for the largest share.

Socioeconomic scenarios for Switzerland

| Project

What will Switzerland look like in the future? A welfare state in a fair world or an energy guzzler in fortress Europe? We examine the potential impacts of different scenarios on greenhouse gas emissions.

Climate path implementation in Baden-Württemberg

| Project

In Baden-Württemberg, emissions are to be reduced by a further 23% by 2030. As part of a multi-stage concept, Prognos examines the challenges and opportunities for action in the transfor-mation context.

Natural gas as a bridge to climate neutrality in Germany

| Project

How has the role of gas changed as a result of the gas crisis? Our energy team explored this question on behalf of the KfW.

About us

Prognos – Providing Orientation.

Prognos is one of the oldest economic research centres in Europe. Founded at the University of Basel, Prognos experts have been conducting research for a wide range of clients from the public and private sectors since 1959 – politically independent, scientifically sound.

Learn more