Umweltbundesamt (UBA)
ongoing
Öko-Institut, Fraunhofer ISI, IREES, M5, FfE
The Federal Government's projection report describes how greenhouse gas emissions in Germany are expected to develop in the years up to 2050 and shows whether the climate protection targets can be achieved with the instruments adopted to date.
Prognos and its partners will support the preparation of the 2025 to 2027 projections under the leadership of the Öko-Institut.
For the projection reports, the Prognos project team will be responsible for coordinating and defining the framework data (including economic development, population, energy prices, CO2 prices), modelling district heating generation, modelling electricity generation abroad and mapping CO2 flows. Prognos will also carry out a second modelling exercise in the building sector for the 2025 reporting year in order to obtain a more reliable estimate of target achievement in the building sector.
Report: Framework data for greenhouse gas projections 2026 (PDF, in German)
Report: Instruments for greenhouse gas projections 2026 (PDF, in German)
Greenhouse gas projections 2025 (UBA website, in German)
Report: Framework data for the greenhouse gas projections 2025 (PDF, in German)
Report: Instruments for the greenhouse gas projections 2025 (PDF, in German)
To the past projection reports (UBA website)
Project team: Mohammad Alkasabreh, Elias Althoff, Dr Andreas Kemmler, Dr Almut Kirchner, Sven Kreidelmeyer, Paurnima Atul Kulkarni, Jan Limbers, Sebastian Lübbers, Fabian Muralter, Malek Sahnoun, Nils Thamling, Minh Phuong Vu, Aurel Wünsch, Marco Wünsch, Inka Ziegenhagen
Last update: 10.02.2026
Senior Project Manager
What is the status of the energy transition in Germany? Since 2012, Prognos has been monitoring the energy transition in Bavaria and Germany on behalf of the vbw.
Energy prices remain high, and the expansion of renewable energies continues to fall short of targets: this is shown by our 14th Energy Transition Monitoring report, which we compiled on behalf of the vbw.
On behalf of the BMWE, we evaluate the impact of the BEG in the funding period 2021 – 2025 together with ifeu, ITG, and FIW.
On behalf of the Swiss Federal Office of Energy (SFOE), we conduct an annual analysis of the development of energy consumption in Switzerland.
The analysis for the Federal Office of Energy shows that final energy consumption has fallen significantly since 2000, mainly thanks to savings in space and process heating. At the same time, demand has risen in areas such as electrical appliances and building services. Consumption has not changed significantly since 2020.
How far have systems for storing and extracting CO2 developed in Europe? Our study for the German Environment Agency evaluated planned and ongoing CO2 capture projects in Europe, focusing on BECCUS and DACCUS projects.
Methane emissions from landfills are an often underestimated climate challenge. On commission by Kanadevia Inova, we investigated how these emissions develop over time and what levels they reach.
On behalf of the Energy Agency for Electrical Appliances (eae), Prognos annually examines the development in the efficiency of electrical appliances and their influence on energy consumption in Switzerland.
Prognos has been providing communications support for the network expansion of distribution network operator Schleswig-Holstein Netz since 2006.
What will Switzerland look like in the future? A welfare state in a fair world or an energy guzzler in fortress Europe? We examine the potential impacts of different scenarios on greenhouse gas emissions.
We combine economic research and strategy consulting for sustainable decisions in politics, business and society. Our robust data, precise analyses and scientifically based findings enable fact-based progress – financially independent, politically neutral.
