Umweltbundesamt (UBA)
ongoing
Öko-Institut, Fraunhofer ISI, IREES, M5, FfE
The Federal Government's projection report describes how greenhouse gas emissions in Germany are expected to develop in the years up to 2050 and shows whether the climate protection targets can be achieved with the instruments adopted to date.
Prognos and its partners will support the preparation of the 2025 to 2027 projections under the leadership of the Öko-Institut.
For the projection reports, the Prognos project team will be responsible for coordinating and defining the framework data (including economic development, population, energy prices, CO2 prices), modelling district heating generation, modelling electricity generation abroad and mapping CO2 flows. Prognos will also carry out a second modelling exercise in the building sector for the 2025 reporting year in order to obtain a more reliable estimate of target achievement in the building sector.
Report: Framework data for greenhouse gas projections 2026 (PDF, in German)
Report: Instruments for greenhouse gas projections 2026 (PDF, in German)
Greenhouse gas projections 2025 (UBA website, in German)
Report: Framework data for the greenhouse gas projections 2025 (PDF, in German)
Report: Instruments for the greenhouse gas projections 2025 (PDF, in German)
To the past projection reports (UBA website)
Project team: Mohammad Alkasabreh, Elias Althoff, Dr Andreas Kemmler, Dr Almut Kirchner, Sven Kreidelmeyer, Paurnima Atul Kulkarni, Jan Limbers, Sebastian Lübbers, Fabian Muralter, Malek Sahnoun, Nils Thamling, Minh Phuong Vu, Aurel Wünsch, Marco Wünsch, Inka Ziegenhagen
Last update: 10.02.2026
Senior Project Manager
The CCRI focuses on the implementation of a circular economy in European cities and regions. Prognos is supporting the initiative as a project partner in the associated Coordination and Support Office.
What will Switzerland look like in the future? A welfare state in a fair world or an energy guzzler in fortress Europe? We examined the potential impacts of different scenarios on greenhouse gas emissions.
Prognos is supporting the North Rhine-Westphalian Ministry of the Environment in organising, implementing and establishing the world's first trade exhibition for the climate adaptation industry.
A single heat day costs the German economy 431 million euros. Our study for the BMAS examines how preventive, climate-change-friendly occupational safety measures can help to limit the damage.
The transport forecast provides the technical basis for Austria’s strategic transport planning. Together with its partners, Prognos is responsible for designing and calculating the baseline forecast, as well as additional supporting scenarios for passenger and freight transport.
Prognos is assessing the potential for decarbonising thermal waste treatment through the use of resource-saving and energy-efficient CO₂ capture and processing technologies.
How effective are the measures proposed by Germany’s federal ministries for the upcoming climate protection programme? Prognos and its partners examined the feasibility of the planned climate protection measures and analysed their impact on the climate.
The network Klimaanpassung&Unternehmen.NRW (NKU) offers exchange, knowledge and market information on climate adaptation in North Rhine-Westphalia. Prognos is leading the network together with partners.
What is the status of the energy transition in Germany? Since 2012, Prognos has been monitoring the energy transition in Bavaria and Germany on behalf of the vbw.
Energy prices remain high, and the expansion of renewable energies continues to fall short of targets: this is shown by our 14th Energy Transition Monitoring report, which we compiled on behalf of the vbw.
We combine economic research and strategy consulting for sustainable decisions in politics, business and society. Our robust data, precise analyses and scientifically based findings enable fact-based progress – financially independent, politically neutral.
