Policy scenarios for the 2025-2027 projection reports
Umweltbundesamt (UBA)
ongoing
Öko-Institut, Fraunhofer ISI, IREES, M5, FfE
The Federal Government's projection report describes how greenhouse gas emissions in Germany are expected to develop in the years up to 2050 and shows whether the climate protection targets can be achieved with the instruments adopted to date.
Prognos and its partners will support the preparation of the 2025 to 2027 projections under the leadership of the Öko-Institut.
For the projection reports, the Prognos project team will be responsible for coordinating and defining the framework data (including economic development, population, energy prices, CO2 prices), modelling district heating generation, modelling electricity generation abroad and mapping CO2 flows. Prognos will also carry out a second modelling exercise in the building sector for the 2025 reporting year in order to obtain a more reliable estimate of target achievement in the building sector.
Greenhouse gas projections 2025 (UBA website, in German)
Report: Framework data for the greenhouse gas projections 2025 (PDF, in German)
Report: Instruments for the greenhouse gas projections 2025 (PDF, in German)
To the past projection reports (UBA website)
Project team: Mohammad Alkasabreh, Elias Althoff, Dr Andreas Kemmler, Dr Almut Kirchner, Sven Kreidelmeyer, Paurnima Atul Kulkarni, Jan Limbers, Sebastian Lübbers, Fabian Muralter, Malek Sahnoun, Nils Thamling, Minh Phuong Vu, Aurel Wünsch, Marco Wünsch, Inka Ziegenhagen
Last update: 05.06.2025
Senior Project Manager
Prognos examined for the Ministry of Economic Affairs, Labor, Energy and Climate Protection of the State of Brandenburg what role CO2 capture, usage and storage could play in the state.
Prognos compared international industrial electricity prices for the Austrian electricity industry. Based on this analysis, we also developed recommendations for government instruments to reduce electricity costs.
Prognos is supporting the North Rhine-Westphalian Ministry of the Environment in organising, implementing and establishing the world's first trade exhibition for the climate adaptation industry.
In an expert report for the Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs, we and GWS have for the first time estimated the economic impact of these three areas.
On behalf of the BMWK, we evaluate the impact of the BEG in the funding period 2021 – 2025 together with ifeu, ITG, and FIW.
Grid operator TenneT has put an important power line into operation in Lower Saxony. Prognos supported the communication for the project.
The German Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs has commissioned Prognos and its partners to develop a plan for implementing the European Energy Performance of Buildings Directive in Germany.
Primary energy consumption in Germany has fallen by a total of ten percent in the last two years. However, not all sectors have been successful.
How can EU member states accelerate the expansion of renewable energies? Our report for the European Commission analyses which measures are needed to simplify approval procedures.
Prognos will support the Federal Ministry of Economics in preparing the NECP progress reports until 2027.
Prognos is one of the oldest economic research centres in Europe. Founded at the University of Basel, Prognos experts have been conducting research for a wide range of clients from the public and private sectors since 1959 – politically independent, scientifically sound.