Policy scenarios for the 2025-2027 projection reports
Umweltbundesamt (UBA)
ongoing
Öko-Institut, Fraunhofer ISI, IREES, M5, FfE
The Federal Government's projection report describes how greenhouse gas emissions in Germany are expected to develop in the years up to 2050 and shows whether the climate protection targets can be achieved with the instruments adopted to date.
Prognos and its partners will support the preparation of the 2025 to 2027 projections under the leadership of the Öko-Institut.
For the projection reports, the Prognos project team will be responsible for coordinating and defining the framework data (including economic development, population, energy prices, CO2 prices), modelling district heating generation, modelling electricity generation abroad and mapping CO2 flows. Prognos will also carry out a second modelling exercise in the building sector for the 2025 reporting year in order to obtain a more reliable estimate of target achievement in the building sector.
Greenhouse gas projections 2025 (UBA website, in German)
Report: Framework data for the greenhouse gas projections 2025 (PDF, in German)
Report: Instruments for the greenhouse gas projections 2025 (PDF, in German)
To the past projection reports (UBA website)
Project team: Mohammad Alkasabreh, Elias Althoff, Dr Andreas Kemmler, Dr Almut Kirchner, Sven Kreidelmeyer, Paurnima Atul Kulkarni, Jan Limbers, Sebastian Lübbers, Fabian Muralter, Malek Sahnoun, Nils Thamling, Minh Phuong Vu, Aurel Wünsch, Marco Wünsch, Inka Ziegenhagen
Last update: 05.06.2025
Senior Project Manager
The Swiss Federal Office of Energy is planning to redesign its energy strategy for the period up to 2060. Under the leadership of Prognos, various scenarios are being developed for a secure and sustainable energy future for Switzerland. The focus is on the question of how rising electricity demand can be met in the future.
The Republic of Austria promotes numerous energy efficiency measures. Prognos analysed these measures and drew up recommendations for further development.
To facilitate the transition to a climate-neutral economy, Prognos is supporting the European Commission in implementing the European Fair Transition Observatory (EFTO).
With Rail4Climate, the Climate and Energy Fund promotes capacity and efficiency improvements in the Austrian rail sector with a focus on digital operations control, data usage and automated maintenance. We support the project with an indicator-based evaluation system.
Prognos examined for the Ministry of Economic Affairs, Labor, Energy and Climate Protection of the State of Brandenburg what role CO2 capture, usage and storage could play in the state.
Prognos and bridgingIT developed a concept for future internal sustainability management for a customer in the municipal energy sector.
Prognos compared international industrial electricity prices for the Austrian electricity industry. Based on this analysis, we also developed recommendations for government instruments to reduce electricity costs.
Prognos is supporting the North Rhine-Westphalian Ministry of the Environment in organising, implementing and establishing the world's first trade exhibition for the climate adaptation industry.
Flooded streets, dried-up rivers, broken asphalt: we analyse the effects of extreme weather events on transport infrastructure and the economy.
In an expert report for the Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs, we and GWS have for the first time estimated the economic impact of these three areas.
We combine economic research and strategy consulting for sustainable decisions in politics, business and society. Our robust data, precise analyses and scientifically based findings enable fact-based progress – financially independent, politically neutral.
