Application The Demography model allows projection of the population status according to age and gender and the simulation of alternative population developments (e. g. immigration and birth scenarios). Model core The Demography model is a cohort-component model that enables predictions of population development based on current population levels and assumptions about births, migration, and mortality. Application examples and projects Housing requirements in the Northern Black Forest region 2020 | Project On behalf of the Northern Black Forest region, Prognos examined what the future housing re-quirements will be for the region and its seven central areas by the year 2040. Read more The change of long-term care 2019 | Project Prognos examined approaches to the further development of care professions and the prospects for the financing of the social long-term care insurance (SPV) up to the year 2050. Read more Attracting and retaining skilled workers in early education 2018 | Project By the year 2030 there will be a shortage of around 199,000 educators throughout Germany. This is shown by a Prognos study for the Federal Ministry of Family Affairs. Read more Housing requirements in Baden-Württemberg 2017 | Project Baden-Württemberg’s housing market is seeing a clear imbalance between supply and demand. Between 2011 and 2015, an “accrued buildings deficit” of 88,000 too few apartments emerged. These are the results of a Prognos study conducted on behalf of L-Bank. Read more More on this model Model type Cohort-component model Modelled dimensions Age Gender Years Region covered Germany Federal states Districts Municipalities Time frame Until 2070 Databases Federal and State Statistical Offices Eurostat Human Mortality Database Input Population status Birth rates Immigration/emigration Mortality table Output Population by age and gender Feel free to contact us. Dr Almut Kirchner Partner, Director +41 61 32 73 331 almut.kirchner@prognos.com Go to profile Your name Phone Email address Your message Data protection notice Yes, I consent to Prognos processing the personal data I have provided above in order to best address the request I have made. I can revoke my consent at any time with effect for the future by sending an e-mail to info@prognos.com. You can find further information in our data protection declaration. Leave this field blank