Application The social insurance model OCCUR allows the simulation of social policy reforms on the financial development of the individual branches of German social security (GRV, GKV, SPV). Model core The social insurance model OCCUR is a detailed model of German social security. Application examples and projects Szenarien zur Reform der Pflegefinanzierung 2024 | Project Mehr Pflegebedürftige und steigende Kosten: Dass wir älter werden, stellt die Pflegeversicherung vor große Herausforderungen. Eine neue Analyse zeigt den künftigen Finanzierungsbedarf. Read more Pension at 63 – Quo vadis? 2023 | Project Retiring at 63 is very popular. In 2021 alone, more than 270,000 people took the option of early retirement. These were the findings of our study for the INSM. Read more Effects of the statutory minimum wage on pension development 2020 | Project Does the statutory minimum wage have an influence on pension development and individual pension entitlements? Prognos investigated this on behalf of the Minimum Wage Commission. Read more The change of long-term care 2019 | Project Prognos examined approaches to the further development of care professions and the prospects for the financing of the social long-term care insurance (SPV) up to the year 2050. Read more A reliable intergenerational contract? 2018 | Project The Federal Government’s planned pension package would lead to significant additional expenditure on pension insurance and to permanent increases in pension contribution rates. These are the results of our study conducted on behalf of the INSM. Read more Care Perspective. Reorientation of the elderly care profession 2019 | Project The annual expenditure of social long-term care insurance will continue to increase in the coming decades according to the results of a Prognos study for the Bertelsmann Foundation. Read more More on this model Model type Social insurance model Modelled dimensions Social security branches Income Expenditure Contribution rate Age Gender Years Region covered Germany Time frame Until 2070 Databases DRV Bund BMG BA Federal Statistical Office Feel free to contact us. Dr Almut Kirchner Partner, Director +41 61 32 73 331 almut.kirchner@prognos.com Go to profile Your name Phone Email address Your message Data protection notice Yes, I consent to Prognos processing the personal data I have provided above in order to best address the request I have made. I can revoke my consent at any time with effect for the future by sending an e-mail to info@prognos.com. You can find further information in our data protection declaration. Leave this field blank