The potential of smart
specialisation strategies

Year

2023

Partner

Prof. Dominique Foray


Together with Prof. Dominique Foray, professor from the Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne, Prognos put together a policy brief on the potential of smart specialisation strategies (S3) for structural and transformation processes at regional level. The policy brief resulted from the collaborative work on previous studies on the topic of smart specialisation strategies on behalf of the European Commission. 

The policy brief shows the important contribution smart specialisation strategies can make to structural and transformation processes. Equally, in the context of smart specialisation strategies, the organisation of calls for projects is highlighted specifically as being central to their success.

Implementation makes all the difference

As guidance for political decision makers at national and regional level, the policy brief assessed the potential of smart specialisation strategies to contribute to structural transformation processes,

The results confirm that smart specialisation strategies can play an important role in structural and transformation processes. However, in order to reach their full potential, the new generation of innovation processes will have to find ways to resolve the tension between planned (top-down) and decentralised (bottom-up) activities through effective process control.

Smart specialisation strategies are characterised by a strong planning component. The planning rationale must, however, be complemented by a bottom-up process, thus, creating space for businesses to find their own solutions to specific problems, gaps, and possibilities in structural transformation.

Planning and bottom-up insights are thus two inseparable rationales of smart specialisation.

Furthermore, the paper illustrates that determining S3 priorities is not enough to ensure the implementation of transformation processes. In addition, the development of a transformation roadmap is required, and one which is implemented through the application of the right political instruments.

The paper shows that, for example, poorly designed calls for projects compromise effective transformation, in spite of S3 priorities.

The urgent recommendation is therefore to raise policy awareness of the importance of properly organising project calls such that the desired transformation can be implemented effectively.

Our approach

The policy brief is based on the results of the study on the prioritisation of smart specialisation strategies in the EU and a subsequent study on the topic.

A quantitative study design based on big data analysis was chosen to evaluate the key parameters of smart specialisation strategies.

Links and downloads

Policy brief (PDF)

Previous studies

Smart specialisation strategies (in German)
Subsequent study on smart specialisation strategies in the EU (in German)

Project team: Dr Jan-Philipp Kramer, Lennart Galdiga

Latest update: 07.11.2023

Do you have questions?

Your contact at Prognos

Dr Jan-Philipp Kramer

Partner, Head of EU Services

View profile

More studies & projects on this topic

Digital State Trend Report

ongoing
| Project

Since 2016, Prognos’ management consulting team has been helping compile the Digital State trend report in cooperation with Behörden Spiegel. Each year the report is devoted to another forward-looking trend topic for public administration.

Impact Assessment of the European Innovation Act

ongoing
| Project

Europe has a strong research capabilities, but too little market success. The European Innovation Act aims to change this, remove structural barriers and thereby significantly strengthen innovation in the EU. Prognos and its partners are assisting with its development.

GreenTech Atlas 2025

2025
| Project

On behalf of the Federal Ministry for the Environment, Prognos compiled the Green Tech Atlas 2025. The atlas provides a comprehensive overview of the cross-sectional environmental technology and resource efficiency industries.

Evaluation of ERDF funding for research and innovation

2025
| Project

Prognos and its partners evaluated how effectively ERDF funding was used for research, technology, development and innovation in the 2014–2020 funding period.

Green Tech: Digital technologies and sustainability

ongoing
| Project

The Federal Ministry of Economics promotes digital technologies that drive forward the economy’s green transformation. Together with partners, we are responsible for the accompanying research.

Development of Berlin’s innovation strategy

ongoing
| Project

The joint innovation strategy of Berlin and Brandenburg expired in 2025. Prognos is supporting the state of Berlin in redesigning its innovation policy orientation.

Requirements and potential analysis for (AI-based) robotics in the industrial city of Berlin

2025
| Project

We investigated the potential of (AI-based) robotics in Berlin for the Senate Administration.

Mid-term review of the Hamburg ERDF programme

2025
| Project

The Hanseatic City of Hamburg has the smallest ERDF programme in Germany. Prognos reviewed whether the programme objectives are being achieved and whether adjustments are necessary.

Evaluation of the Human Frontier Science Program (HFSP)

ongoing
| Project

The HFSP promotes groundbreaking research in the life sciences. Prognos and Digital Science evaluate the programme’s effectiveness.

European Union: From the fossil fuel economy to the bioeconomy

ongoing
| Project

The EU Commission commissioned Prognos, Idea Consult and the nova-Institute to research and promote the transition to a bioeconomy in the European Union.

About us

We combine economic research and strategy consulting for sustainable decisions in politics, business and society. Our robust data, precise analyses and scientifically based findings enable fact-based progress – financially independent, politically neutral. 

Learn more