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Accelerated climate protection does pay off


If the expansion of renewable energy and the implementation of efficiency measures are ac-celerated, electricity prices will fall more quickly, and the GDP will grow faster. These were the findings of our short study for the INSM.
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Award for our work

Category

Date

2023-03-10

Award for our work

For the tenth time in a row, Statista and brand eins magazine have honoured outstanding companies in the consulting industry. For 2023, Prognos has once again been ranked among the best companies in the public sector & infrastructure category. This places us in the top 310 of Germany’s approximately 20,000 consulting companies.

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Ecological transformation and the labour market in Schleswig-Holstein


How many specialists will Schleswig-Holstein need to implement its climate protection measures? What are the key professions necessary for successful implementation?
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Sustainable end-of-life vehicle recycling


Circular economy in practice: As part of the MaterialLoop project, we have been working with Audi and TSR on how more materials from end-of-life vehicles can be used in the production of new vehicles.
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Gas balance: Interim results in February

Mild weather in winter takes off the pressure

Category

Date

2023-02-10

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Germany’s business model 2023


Why politicians and companies need to act consistently - and how they can do so. Joint study with BayernLB.
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Follow-up study on smart specialisation strategies in the EU


We evaluated the 185 smart specialisation strategies of the EU regions together with CSIL: A quantitative study for the EU Commission.

Globalization – Deglobalization

Are globalization and Germany’s business model on the way out?

Why policymakers and companies need to act decisively – and how they can ensure future success

Are globalization and Germany’s business model on the way out?

For BayernLB-Research and Prognos, the German business model is under threat. That’s why we’ve co-authored a new report analysing the global context for German firms and outlining ways in which they can ensure their business models remain viable.

Download report (PDF)

This joint report from BayernLB-Research and Prognos examines the state of globalization in:

  • cross-border trade
  • technology and innovation
  • the capital market and corporate structures

Multiple crises are impacting the current political and economic context

For years globalization has been slowing as a result of geopolitical tensions, such as those between the US and China, and political setbacks such as Brexit. Since the Covid-19- pandemic and Russia’s war of aggression in Ukraine, supply chain bottlenecks and new geopolitical threats have further exacerbated the situation, along with inflation and interest rate hikes.

"Ongoing deglobalization – an unravelling of global economic ties – has become a realistic scenario."

Dr Michael Böhmer, Chief Economist, Prognos

The report underlines that, globally, the trade in goods has been stagnating for more than ten years, while services have been playing an ever greater role.

"Germany has managed to steadily increase its services exports and was thus able to rapidly recover from the 2020 slump, thanks in part to its tourism industry."

Dr Jürgen Michels, Chief Economist, BayernLB

Conclusion: resilient sales markets and supply chains are the key to success

For German policymakers and businesses, there is urgent need for action. Companies need to build greater resilience into their sales markets and supply chains if they are still to thrive on the international stage, while the state needs to create the right environment to enable Germany’s export-oriented businesses to better withstand crises. If, however, German firms can look to their strengths and tailor them to the changed circumstances, then this new world can still present attractive opportunities. Our report is intended to outline those opportunities and inspire others to develop them further.

Download Report (PDF)
 

Information accurate as of 31 Jan. 2023

Portraitbild von Prognos-Mitarbeiter Michael Böhmer

Dr Michael Böhmer

Managing Partner | Chief Economist

Economy & Labour
Macroeconomics
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Prognos Mitarbeiter Johann Weiß

Johann Weiß

Senior Project Manager

Economy & Labour
Macroeconomics
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Inflation – extra burden and relief for family households

Calculations on inflation-related additional private household expenditure and the work of the Federal Government's relief package.
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Policy Paper MEPS: Minimum efficiency standards for existing buildings


Energy-efficient building renovation is an important part of achieving climate protection goals in the buildings sector. A brief summary of the role of MEPS within this context.
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