own publication
2022
The German economy is strongly intertwined with the global economy. But instead of global interdependencies, regional trade blocks could determine world trade in the future. Our brief analysis shows what a deglobalised world economy means for the German economy.
Request brief analysis (PDF)
For some time now, the end of globalisation as we have known it has been looming. In the wake of the Russian war of aggression, there is a growing risk that the world economy will disintegrate into different regional trading blocs - with strong economic exchange within, but significantly fewer intensive relations between the regions. For Germany, which is strongly globally interconnected, such an end to globalisation would have far-reaching consequences. A new brief analysis shows how dependent Germany is on individual regions of the world in various economic categories. In order to establish dependencies, a team led by Prognos Chief Economist Michael Böhmer divided the world's regions into blocs based on geographical and geopolitical characteristics, as they could emerge in view of the Russian war of aggression on Ukraine. The results provide information on the economic consequences for Germany of the formation of a bloc and an end to the global economic interdependencies that have developed over decades. Among other things, foreign trade, the associated employment in Germany, the dependence on raw materials, but also the international research cooperations were examined. Receive the results of our brief analysis free of charge directly in your email inbox: Request brief analysis (PDF) The results of the brief analysis were first published in Handelsblatt on 6.5.2022.
A short conclusion was added to the analysis for download (PDF) on 9 May. To the Handelsblatt report (€, in german)
Partner, Head of Corporate Services
A race to catch up - this is what Europe needs if it is not to be left behind by the USA and China. In the SPIEGEL guest article, Christian Böllhoff calls for a new match plan with clear priorities for the new EU legislative period.
In uncertain times, there is a growing demand for orientation. PEO® delivers independent figures. Based on our wolrd economy model we project the developments until 2045.
Growth in the German economy benefits the whole of Europe. Our study for the vbw shows that this is due to the size of the economy and its strong foreign trade networks.
Employees want tailor-made reconciliation measures that ensure work-life balance and not to face professional disadvantage as a result of their care work. These were the findings of our study for the BMFSFJ.
Which companies are already using or developing artificial intelligence? Which companies would benefit from the use of AI? Prognos created an interactive dashboard for one federal state.
Prognos develops a tool for an industry association that enables member companies to carry out risk analyses to identify sustainability risks in countries and sectors.
We have produced guidelines for successful sustainability reporting in accordance with the Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive for an industry association. The third guide deals with data management in accordance with the CSRD.
We have produced guidelines for successful sustainability reporting in accordance with the Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive for an industry association. The second guide is dedicated to the topic of "Sustainability Governance".
The study for the European Commission examines the impact of digitalisation on the employment situation in the individual member states as well as on the EU economy as a whole.
In his guest article "Move Europe - it's urgent!" in WirtschaftsWoche, Christian Böllhoff calls for Europe to reposition itself geo-economically in order to strengthen its position between the economic giants USA and China.
Prognos is one of the oldest economic research centres in Europe. Founded at the University of Basel, Prognos experts have been conducting research for a wide range of clients from the public and private sectors since 1959 – politically independent, scientifically sound.