German Centre for Rail Transport Research (DZSF) at the Federal Railway Authority (EBA)
ongoing
SSP Consult, PTV Transport Consult, AtmoVera Max Ulrich e.K.
Flooded streets, dried-up rivers, broken asphalt:extreme weather events cause significant damage to transport infrastructure.
These events increasingly threaten the functionality and safety of the transport network. In view of the increase in extreme weather events due to climate change, it is necessary to analyse and quantify their effects at an early stage.
The German Centre for Rail Transport Research at the Federal Railway Office commissioned a consortium led by Prognos to model three exemplary extreme weather events and their effects on the transport and logistics system, as well as the economic consequences, in the form of a stress test.
In this project, we are investigating how three specific extreme weather events affect the transport and logistics system in Germany. The scenarios examined include
We not only analyse the direct consequences for traffic, but also economic effects such as relocation and recovery costs, as well as indirect damage caused by delivery failures and delays.
To investigate the effects of extreme weather on traffic, we conduct stress tests. We simulate detailed traffic scenarios to analyse the behaviour of the logistics system under various extreme weather conditions.
The simulation results help us to identify and quantitatively assess the economic impacts of extreme weather events. We also develop recommendations for action to increase the resilience of the infrastructure to future extreme weather events and to support targeted risk reduction measures.
Project team: Sven Altenburg, Jens Fiedler, Ben Gibbels, Hans-Paul Kienzler, Milena Miechielsen, Robert Norpoth, Lukas Sander
Last update: 14.04.2025
Project Manager
The Swiss Federal Office of Energy is planning to redesign its energy strategy for the period up to 2060. Under the leadership of Prognos, various scenarios are being developed for a secure and sustainable energy future for Switzerland. The focus is on the question of how rising electricity demand can be met in the future.
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Prognos and bridgingIT developed a concept for future internal sustainability management for a customer in the municipal energy sector.
Prognos compared international industrial electricity prices for the Austrian electricity industry. Based on this analysis, we also developed recommendations for government instruments to reduce electricity costs.
Prognos is supporting the North Rhine-Westphalian Ministry of the Environment in organising, implementing and establishing the world's first trade exhibition for the climate adaptation industry.
In an expert report for the Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs, we and GWS have for the first time estimated the economic impact of these three areas.
On behalf of the BMWE, we evaluate the impact of the BEG in the funding period 2021 – 2025 together with ifeu, ITG, and FIW.
We combine economic research and strategy consulting for sustainable decisions in politics, business and society. Our robust data, precise analyses and scientifically based findings enable fact-based progress – financially independent, politically neutral.
