vbw – Bavarian Industry Association
ongoing
What is the status of the German energy transition? Since 2012, Prognos has been monitoring the energy transition in Bavaria and Germany on behalf of the vbw – Bavarian Industry Association.
We examined four areas in more depth to assess the extent to which the energy transition has achieved its targets:
We developed a traffic light system for the evaluation of selected indicators, to which the numbers 1 to 3 were additionally assigned for the formation of mean values. “Green” (= 1) means a positive rating, “Yellow” (= 2) means a critical rating and “Red” (= 3) means a negative rating.
The Bavarian Energy Program’s quantified targets and the Federal Government’s energy concept as well as targets defined in laws such as the EEG, serve as the basis for assessment. Where no information is available, we have defined a target path or appropriate reference values have been defined. For the purpose of the environmental compatibility assessment, greenhouse gas emissions were used.
In autumn 2010, the German Federal Government defined quantitative targets for achieving a secure, economical and environmentally and climate-friendly energy supply in the long term. Increasing energy productivity and expanding renewable energies have since played a decisive role.
With the Bundestag’s adoption of the Climate Protection Act in December 2019, the Federal Government set itself the goal of long-term greenhouse gas neutrality by the year 2050. Until the year 2030, the reduction target of 55 percent compared to 1990, continues to apply.
Last update: 02.03.2026
Energy prices remain high, and the expansion of renewable energies continues to fall short of targets: this is shown by our 14th Energy Transition Monitoring report, which we compiled on behalf of the vbw.
Primary energy consumption in Germany has fallen by a total of ten percent in the last two years. However, not all sectors have been successful.
The energy transition is still lagging behind its goals – such are the findings of our 12th Monitoring Report. In two of the four areas, the lights remain on red.
Our data shows: As the expansion of renewable energies has been particularly paralysed, a lot still needs to happen in the coming years if Germany is to achieve its energy and climate goals.
Wie haben sich Energieverbrauch und Emissionen in Bezug auf die Ziele der Energiewende entwickelt? Im Energiewendemonitoring bewertet Prognos im Auftrag der Vereinigung der Bayerischen Wirtschaft die Situation in 2020.
Zum neunten Mal in Folge bilanziert Prognos im Auftrag der vbw – Vereinigung der Bayerischen Wirtschaft e. V. den Verlauf der Energiewende in Deutschland und Bayern.
For the eighth time in a row, Prognos reports on the course of the energy transition in Germany and Bavaria until now, on behalf of the vbw - Vereinigung der Bayerischen Wirtschaft e. V.
For the seventh time in a row, Prognos reports on the course of the energy transition in Germany and Bavaria until now, on behalf of the vbw - Vereinigung der Bayerischen Wirtschaft e. V.
Zum sechsten Mal in Folge bilanziert Prognos im Auftrag der vbw – Vereinigung der Bayerischen Wirtschaft e. V. den Verlauf der Energiewende in Deutschland und Bayern.
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The CCRI focuses on the implementation of a circular economy in European cities and regions. Prognos is supporting the initiative as a project partner in the associated Coordination and Support Office.
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On behalf of the BMWE, we evaluate the impact of the BEG in the funding period 2021 – 2025 together with ifeu, ITG, and FIW.
We combine economic research and strategy consulting for sustainable decisions in politics, business and society. Our robust data, precise analyses and scientifically based findings enable fact-based progress – financially independent, politically neutral.
