For the eighth time in a row, Prognos reports on the course of the energy transition in Germany and Bavaria until now, on behalf of the vbw - Vereinigung der Bayerischen Wirtschaft e. V. The study focuses on factors of power generation and supply but in addition examines aspects of energy efficiency and environmental compatibility. The monitoring report, now published, relates to the latest validated data for the year 2018. Progress in the energy transition is assessed considering four categories: reliability of supply, affordability, efficiency, and renewable energies as well as environmental compatibility. As an innovative feature compared to previous versions, new indicators are listed in the "Environmentally Friendly" category, which shed light on the numerous aspects of the climate compatibility of the entire energy system and include the demand sectors of private households, trade/commerce/services, industry and transport. Read the study (in German, PDF, Website vbw) Authors: Sven Kreidelmeyer (Projektleitung), Dina Tschumi, Andreas Brutsche, Christoph Thormeyer, Dr. Almut Kirchner Our work on this topic Take a look at our latest projects and activities. International electricity price comparison 2025 | Project Prognos compared international industrial electricity prices for the Austrian electricity industry. Based on this analysis, we also developed recommendations for government instruments to reduce electricity costs. Read more Design and implementation of the Resilience Expo ongoing | Project Prognos is supporting the North Rhine-Westphalian Ministry of the Environment in organising, implementing and establishing the world's first trade exhibition for the climate adaptation industry. Read more Overall impact of climate change, mitigation and adaptation on the German economy 2025 | Project In an expert report for the Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs, we and GWS have for the first time estimated the economic impact of these three areas. Read more Evaluation of the Federal Funding for Efficient Buildings (BEG) ongoing | Project On behalf of the BMWK, we evaluate the impact of the BEG in the funding period 2021 – 2025 together with ifeu, ITG, and FIW. Read more Extra-high voltage line Ganderkesee – St. Hülfe 2023 | Project Grid operator TenneT has put an important power line into operation in Lower Saxony. Prognos supported the communication for the project. Read more 13th Energy Transition Monitoring 2025 | Project Primary energy consumption in Germany has fallen by a total of ten percent in the last two years. However, not all sectors have been successful. Read more Expert opinion on the implementation of the European Energy Performance of Buildings Directive ongoing | Project The German Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs has commissioned Prognos and its partners to develop a plan for implementing the European Energy Performance of Buildings Directive in Germany. Read more Policy scenarios for the 2025-2027 projection reports ongoing | Project Prognos and its partners support the preparation of the German government's 2025 to 2027 greenhouse gas projection reports. Read more Acceleration of approval procedures for renewable energies 2025 | Project How can EU member states accelerate the expansion of renewable energies? Our report for the European Commission analyses which measures are needed to simplify approval procedures. Read more Support for the progress reports of the National Energy and Climate Plan (NECP) ongoing | Project Prognos will support the Federal Ministry of Economics in preparing the NECP progress reports until 2027. Read more Onshore wind energy: Cost trends, financing and current challenges 5. March 2025 | Event Leonard Krampe takes part in the DFBEW wind conference in Paris. The topic of the event is Onshore wind energy: cost development, financing and current challenges. Read more Ex-post analysis of energy consumption in Switzerland 2023 2024 | Project update In the period 2000-2023, final energy consumption in Switzerland increased, although the costs of energy sources have risen significantly. Read more Analyses of Swiss energy use ongoing | Project On behalf of the Swiss Federal Office of Energy (SFOE), we conduct an annual analysis of the development of energy consumption in Switzerland. Read more Energy efficiency analysis of electrical appliances ongoing | Project On behalf of the Energy Agency for Electrical Appliances (eae), Prognos annually examines the development in the efficiency of electrical appliances and their influence on energy consumption in Switzerland. Read more Skilled workers for the energy transition 2024 | Project How many laborers and skilled workers will Germany need for the green transformation of its economy? We examined this question on behalf of the German Chamber of Industry and Commerce. Read more Promoting the use of electric buses in local public transport 2024 | Project The German Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Energy has been funding the e-bus market ramp-up since 2018. Together with our partners, we have been investigating how effective this funding has been. Read more Further development of national emissions trading 2024 | Project In our report, we estimated the steering effect of the Fuel Emissions Trading Act for the German Environment Agency on the basis of four sensitivities. Read more Climate Neutral Germany – From Target Setting to Implementation 2024 | Project How can Germany as an industry location achieve net zero by 2045, whilst still maintaining its competitiveness? This study updates our 2021 calculations made on behalf of Agora Think Tanks. Read more A greener economy through green finance 2024 | Project With green finance, greenhouse gases in Austria can be reduced by up to four per cent by 2040 – in the bond market alone. This is the result of our study commissioned by the Ministry for Climate Action. Read more Supporting the Jordanian-German Energy Partnership ongoing | Project The exchange of information and experience within this partnership helps move the energy transition forward in both countries. Prognos is assisting the dena with the implementation of the partnership. Read more Climate protection potential of the recycling economy 2024 | Project If Germany is to achieve its climate targets, additional efforts will be necessary. We calculated the potential for climate protection in the recycling economy on behalf of the Federal Ministry for the Economy. Read more ADAC Mobility Index 2024 2024 | Project Mobility in Germany is becoming increasingly sustainable. However, the transport sector is yet to achieve its national and international climate targets. The ADAC Mobility Index looks at the reasons why. Read more C4T final forum 7. November 2024 | Event The Cohesion for Transitions (C4T) platform aims to support structurally weak regions on the path to climate neutrality. The forum will take stock of the programme: What has been achieved so far and where do we go from here? Read more Electricity Price Forecasts 2024 2024 | Project Electricity prices are closely linked to the development of gas prices. Using three supply scenarios for natural gas we developed forecasts for the development of electricity prices up to the year 2045. Read more Financing options for Austria’s hydrogen network 2024 | Project Austria wants a hydrogen network in place by 2030. We investigated how the development of this network can be financed on behalf of the Austrian Climate Protection Ministry. Read more NetworkNature Annual Conference 2024 25. September 2024 | Event Greta Dekker will be attending the NetworkNature annual conference and talking to the specialist audience about nature-based solutions. Read more Scenario analysis for the long-term strategy negative emissions ongoing | Project Prognos is preparing a scenario analysis for dena and the BMWK to calculate the demand for and potential of negative emissions in Germany. Read more Network Klimaanpassung & Unternehmen.NRW ongoing | Project The network Klimaanpassung&Unternehmen.NRW (NKU) offers exchange, knowledge and market information on climate adaptation in North Rhine-Westphalia. Prognos is leading the network together with partners. Read more Free State of Thuringia’s transition to greenhouse gas neutrality 2024 | Project Using a target scenario, we investigated how Thuringia can achieve its climate goals on behalf of the Thuringian Energy Ministry. Read more Regulatory check for sales products in the energy industry 2024 | Project Prognos supported an energy supplier with integrating sustainability requirements into the sales department’s product decision process. Read more Climate protection investments for the transformation of the energy system 2024 | Project On behalf of the Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Climate Action, we calculated the investments that will be required to restructure capital stock in the course of the envisaged net zero transition. Read more 4th Trilateral Working Group Meeting on the Southern Hydrogen Corridor 18. July 2024 | Event Jens Hobohm takes part in an event organised by the working group on the Southern Hydrogen Corridor at the invitation of the Italian Ministry of the Environment. Read more Cost effectiveness of energy-efficiency housing refurbishment 2024 | Project On behalf of the WWF Germany, using 32 case studies, we calculated the cost effectiveness of refurbishment measures for detached houses and apartment buildings. Read more Regulatory requirements for carbon accounting 2024 | Project Which carbon accounting requirements will businesses have to be aware of in the future and what, specifically, will present the greatest challenge? Read more Greenhouse gas projections 2024 expert appraisal 2024 | Project For the Council of Experts on Climate Change we conducted an expert appraisal to review the Federal Environment Agency’s greenhouse gas projection data. Read more Reducing emissions in primary industry 2024 | Project Primary industry will have to achieve massive reductions in CO2 output by 2045. The Office of Technology Assessment commissioned Prognos with demonstrating the opportunities for a successful transformation. Read more 2nd Cohesion for Transitions Conference & Meetings 4. - 5. June 2024 | Event Our colleagues are travelling to the conference as part of their work for the Cohesion for Transitions (C4T) platform and are chairing both a meeting of the science network and a working group. Read more Scenarios for calculating the cost of Germany’s transport transition 2024 | Project What level of investment will be required to ensure a climate-neutral transport sector by 2045? We calculated this on behalf of Agora Verkehrswende, based on three scenarios. Read more Energy efficiency gap analysis 2024 | Project Energy consumption for industry, buildings and transport has remained relatively stable for the last 20 years. A study for the German Industry Initiative for Energy Efficiency (DENEFF) shows how policy can use efficiency measures to counteract this stagnation. Read more Economic impact analysis for selected SDGs 2024 | Project A foundation group commissioned us to use KPIs to visualise the impact of its activities within identified focus SDGs. Read more CO2 amortisation of photovoltaic modules and storage 2023 | Project The product range of an energy company was analysed in terms of various sustainability criteria, in particular climate impact, and its CO2 amortisation calculated. Read more Support for the Just Transition Platform 2024 | Project Through the Just Transition Platform (JTP), the EU supports the member states and regions in achieving their climate targets in a fair manner. Prognos provided the JTP with in-depth analyses and knowledge management. Read more 12th Energy Transition Monitoring 2024 | Project The energy transition is still lagging behind its goals – such are the findings of our 12th Monitoring Report. In two of the four areas, the lights remain on red. Read more Annual Energy Transition Monitoring ongoing | Project What is the status of the energy transition in Germany? Since 2012, Prognos has been monitoring the energy transition in Bavaria and Germany on behalf of the vbw. Read more German energy market design 2024 | Project In the coming years new renewable power plants will have to be built – but also flexible gas power plants, which can be used when required. We examined various incentive instruments on behalf of the vbw. Read more Greenhouse gas effects of subsidies in Germany 2024 | Project The Federal Government has commissioned Prognos and other scientific institutes to analyse the climate impact of current state subsidies: Which measures are climate-damaging, which are climate-friendly? Read more Energate Forum: Industry meets Energy 7. May 2024 | Event At the energate Forum, energy market expert Sven Kreidelmeyer will give a keynote speech on the topic: Quo vadis energy prices. Read more Alternative transport scenario for Germany 2024 | Project Environmental organisations have tasked Prognos with adapting selected assumptions from the Federal Ministry of Transport and Digital Infrastructure transport forecasts to facilitate climate-friendly transport development. Read more Ex-post analysis of energy consumption in Switzerland 2022 2023 | Project update Final energy consumption in Switzerland for the year 2022 was around 4 percent less than in the year 2021. Mobility (32 percent) accounted for the largest share. Read more Socioeconomic scenarios for Switzerland ongoing | Project What will Switzerland look like in the future? A welfare state in a fair world or an energy guzzler in fortress Europe? We examine the potential impacts of different scenarios on greenhouse gas emissions. Read more Adobe Stock - CleverStock About us Prognos – Providing Orientation. Prognos is one of the oldest economic research centres in Europe. Founded at the University of Basel, Prognos experts have been conducting research for a wide range of clients from the public and private sectors since 1959 – politically independent, scientifically sound. Learn more