Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Energy (BMWE)
2026
Öko-Institut, Fraunhofer ISI, ifeu, IREES, GWS, Prof. Dr. Stefan Klinski (HWR Berlin)
How effective are the measures proposed by Germany’s federal ministries for the 2026 Climate Protection Programme?
Prognos and its partners examined the plausibility of the planned climate protection measures and analysed their climate impact. We assessed only the measures proposed by the ministries, not a comprehensive, cross-ministerial climate protection programme.
The assessment takes the form of an ex-ante evaluation of individual measures compared to a reference scenario without measures – based on the “with measures” scenario (MMS) from the 2025 Projection Report. The data used consists exclusively of information provided by the ministries from mid-September 2025 onwards.
Impact assessment (PDF, in German)
Further information on the climate protection programme (BMWE website, in German)
Project team: Elias Althoff, Alex Auf der Maur, Hannah Bethge, Hans Dambeck, Nora Langreder, Dominik Rau, Nils Thamling, Friedrich Seefeldt, Dr Alexander Piegsa, Aurel Wünsch, Marco Wünsch, Inka Ziegenhagen
Last update: 25.03.2026
Principal
The network Klimaanpassung&Unternehmen.NRW (NKU) offers exchange, knowledge and market information on climate adaptation in North Rhine-Westphalia. Prognos is leading the network together with partners.
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Energy prices remain high, and the expansion of renewable energies continues to fall short of targets: this is shown by our 14th Energy Transition Monitoring report, which we compiled on behalf of the vbw.
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The analysis for the Federal Office of Energy shows that final energy consumption has fallen significantly since 2000, mainly thanks to savings in space and process heating. At the same time, demand has risen in areas such as electrical appliances and building services. Consumption has not changed significantly since 2020.
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Methane emissions from landfills are an often underestimated climate challenge. On commission by Kanadevia Inova, we investigated how these emissions develop over time and what levels they reach.
On behalf of the Energy Agency for Electrical Appliances (eae), Prognos annually examines the development in the efficiency of electrical appliances and their influence on energy consumption in Switzerland.
We combine economic research and strategy consulting for sustainable decisions in politics, business and society. Our robust data, precise analyses and scientifically based findings enable fact-based progress – financially independent, politically neutral.
