Federal Ministry of Innovation, Mobility and Infrastructure (BMIMI)
ongoing
PLANUM Fallast & Partner, SSP Consult, Herry Consult
The 2050 Transport Forecast provides the data foundation for strategic transport planning in Austria. It offers a well-founded assessment of future trends in passenger and freight transport, thereby forming the basis for long-term infrastructure decisions and transport policy strategies.
The transport forecast aims to:
The baseline forecast is supplemented by several scenarios that illustrate the range of future developments and are thus intended to highlight conflicting objectives as well as the scope for political action.
To forecast the future development of passenger and freight transport, numerous supply and demand data are extrapolated for the years 2030, 2035, 2040, 2045 and 2050, based on established and emerging trends as well as the relevant legal framework.
Prognos bears responsibility for the conceptual and substantive aspects of all project phases – from research to the interpretation of results. The calculation of the forecast and the additional scenarios is carried out using the VMÖ (Austrian Transport Model) by our partners PLANUM Fallast & Partner and SSP Consult.
In an initial step, all relevant input data for Austria and abroad is systematically researched, processed and updated. This is followed by integration into the models and the actual calculations across several iteration loops.
The relevant input data includes:
Scenario development takes place in parallel with the calculation of the reference forecast, in coordination with the revision of the Mobility Strategy 2040+.
More information on the BMIMI webseite (in German)
Project team: Alex Auf der Maur, Jens Hobohm, Marie-Luise Zwicker
Content management: BMIMI, ASFINAG and ÖBB-Infrastruktur AG | Project support: AustriaTech
Last update: 14.04.2026
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