Financing options for Austria’s hydrogen network
Federal Ministry Republic of Austria for Climate Action, Environment, Energy, Mobility, Innovation and Technology
2024
FINGREEN
Austria wants an initial hydrogen network by 2030. The question remains how the development of the necessary infrastructure can be financed. Austria’s Federal Ministry for Climate Action, Environment, Energy, Mobility, Innovation and Technology commissioned Prognos and FINGREEN with the task of analysing different potential financing models.
The total investment cost for the hydrogen network up to 2040 will amount to around 1.2 billion euros. This is based on Austria’s integrated network infrastructure plan and further studies with the majority of the investment being required in the period from 2027 until 2030. In a parallel phase, during the same period, the network infrastructure plan will see the conversion of two existing gas supply lines to hydrogen.
In the study, we examined numerous financing models, two of which emerged as particularly suitable: the high investment support with repayment mechanism model as well as the minimum quantity, or the minimum corridor model.
The selection took into account organisational elements with regard to the operationalisation of the model as well as financial elements, such as cost and risk distribution between the main actors, network operators, users and the state.
This variation of investment for the initial hydrogen network enables a repayment of the funding. The high level of funding reduces the initial risk for network operators. Equally, it is still possible for network operators to achieve absolute gains, should they repay the initial investment (pay-back regulation).
Strengths of the “High investment support with repayment” model:
Weaknesses of the “High investment support with repayment” model:
In this model, the state guarantees a minimum level of utilisation for a specific length of time. The difference between the actual ramp-up and the guaranteed amount will be balanced financially.
The strengths of the “Minimum quantity/quantity corridor” model are:
The weaknesses of the “Minimum quantity/quantity corridor” model are:
The study considers both finance models to be feasible in Austria. The exact modalities should be further developed as part of a negotiation process.
In the context of the investigation, we analysed models from across Europe (Germany, Netherlands, Belgium and France) as well as common financing models from other infrastructures.
Using research, interviews and workshops these financing options were narrowed down. The models that were considered advantageous were then then quantitatively analysed and qualitatively formulated using mathematical simulation. After further interviews and a final workshop, the investment funding and the minimum quantity were identified as the most promising models.
Go to study (BMK website)
Project team: Jens Hobohm, Sven Kreidelmeyer, Saskia Lengning, Ravi Srikandam
Latest update: 30.10.2024
Partner, Director
With green finance, greenhouse gases in Austria can be reduced by up to four per cent by 2040 – in the bond market alone. This is the result of our study commissioned by the Ministry for Climate Action.
Prognos supports transmission and distribution system operators in the planning and construction communication of the various power line construction projects at the extra-high and high-voltage level.
The exchange of information and experience within this partnership helps move the energy transition forward in both countries. Prognos is assisting the dena with the implementation of the partnership.
If Germany is to achieve its climate targets, additional efforts will be necessary. We calculated the potential for climate protection in the recycling economy on behalf of the Federal Ministry for the Economy.
Mobility in Germany is becoming increasingly sustainable. However, the transport sector is yet to achieve its national and international climate targets. The ADAC Mobility Index looks at the reasons why.
Electricity prices are closely linked to the development of gas prices. Using three supply scenarios for natural gas we developed forecasts for the development of electricity prices up to the year 2045.
How can Germany as an industry location achieve net zero by 2045, whilst still maintaining its competitiveness? This study updates our 2021 calculations made on behalf of Agora Think Tanks.
Prognos is preparing a scenario analysis for dena and the BMWK to calculate the demand for and potential of negative emissions in Germany.
Prognos and its partners support the preparation of the German government's 2025 to 2027 greenhouse gas projection reports.
Using a target scenario, we investigated how Thuringia can achieve its climate goals on behalf of the Thuringian Energy Ministry.
Prognos is one of the oldest economic research centres in Europe. Founded at the University of Basel, Prognos experts have been conducting research for a wide range of clients from the public and private sectors since 1959 – politically independent, scientifically sound.