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Ranking for Germany’s regions

Prognos Zukunftsatlas® 2010


Cooperation with Handelsblatt



The “Prognos Zukunftsatlas® 2010 ” is the continuation and updating of the 2004 and 2007 future atlases. It provides information about the future prospects of Germany’s 412 districts and independent cities. The future index (overall ranking), which is made up of 29 indicators, shows the regional distribution of future opportunities and risks within Germany. An analysis of the indicators according to the two dimensions “strength” and “dynamic” allows the ranking to be differentiated into the current location strength on the one hand and the development of the regions in recent years on the other. In addition, evaluations, and rankings in the areas of “Demography,” “Labour market,” “Social situation & prosperity,” and “Competition & innovation” are compiled.

Information on the “Prognos Zukunftsatlas® 2010” - At a glance, can be downloaded here as a PDF:

Prognos Zukunftsatlas® 2010 - At a glance (in German)

Ranking of all 412 districts and independent cities (in German)

Three different maps are available to illustrate the results of “Prognos Zukunftsatlas® 2010”. This shows the regional distribution of the future opportunities and future risks of the 412 districts and independent cities in Germany.

The overall map shows the sustainability of the regions in comparison to Germany. It is derived from the “Zukunftsatlas 2010” (overall ranking). It turns out that in Germany there are still north-south and east-west divides in terms of future opportunities. However, it is noteworthy that the surrounding areas of strong cities are no longer developing as dynamically as they were until the middle of the decade, and that the reurbanisation trend is gaining ground, which is reflected in a stronger population growth of economically successful cities. Furthermore, it can be observed that peripheral rural regions in west Germany increasingly face future risks. However, successful regions in the northwest show that this is not a general trend. In addition, high or very high future risks are not irreversible, as the Spree-Neisse district shows, for example, which has improved by one class compared to 2007.

The overall Prognos Zukunftsatlas® map shows the regions in Germany according to their position in the overall index – in the form of a ranking from 1 (the top region) to 412 (bringing up the rear). They are assigned to eight groups of different future capacities.

Overall map 2010, DIN A4 (PDF)

In addition to the future index (overall ranking), a ranking in the dimensions of economic strength (status quo) and dynamic is formed for the districts and independent cities in the “Prognos Zukunftsatlas® 2010.”

Strength map 2010 (PDF)

Dynamic map  2010 (PDF)

Further editions of the Prognos Zukunftsatlas®

The Zukunftsatlas has been published every three years since 2004. Here you will find links to all editions:

Further editions

Do you have questions?

Your contact at Prognos

Antonia Wentrot

Specialist Corporate Communications

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Our work on this topic

Take a look at our latest projects and activities.

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As part of our work for the European Cluster Collaboration Platform (ECCP), Dr Jan-Philipp Kramer presents an input paper on the cluster landscape of Lombardy, outlining important considerations for the future development of the region.

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The Rhineland-Palatinate Innovation Agency was co-developed by Prognos in 2022. Prognos has continued to support the innovation agency throughout the start of its operational work.

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The workshop is dedicated to the challenges surrounding the green transformation of regions. Prognos EU head Dr Jan-Philipp Kramer will report on his experiences with circular industrial cities at EU level in a presentation.

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Within the Harnessing Talent Platform, the European Commission has selected ten regions to receive technical assistance for securing skilled workers.

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Clusters can function as a stimulus for innovation in industrial ecosystems. This is shown by a European Union’s European Cluster Collaboration Platform impulse paper that uses the Swedish coastal region of Skåne as a case study.

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For the building industry, climate protection is moving into the centre. Because it is one of the largest consumers of resources and energy. Study for the Future Council of the vbw.

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On behalf of the Northern Black Forest region, Prognos examined what the future housing re-quirements will be for the region and its seven central areas by the year 2040.

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Prognos Zukunftsatlas® 2016

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How are Germany's regions positioned for the future? The 2004 study in cooperation with Handelsblatt.

Prognos Zukunftsatlas® 2013

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How are Germany's regions positioned for the future? The 2013 study in cooperation with Handelsblatt.

Prognos Zukunftsatlas® Industries 2009

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“Prognos Zukunftsatlas® Industries 2009” focuses on the future fields that have potential for a strong increase in value creation over the next five to ten years.

Prognos Zukunftsatlas® 2007

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How are Germany's regions positioned for the future? The 2007 study in cooperation with Handelsblatt.

Prognos Zukunftsatlas® 2004

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How are Germany's regions positioned for the future? The 2004 study in cooperation with Handelsblatt.

About us

Prognos – Providing Orientation.

Prognos is one of the oldest economic research centres in Europe. Founded at the University of Basel, Prognos experts have been conducting research for a wide range of clients from the public and private sectors since 1959 – politically independent, scientifically sound.

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