The focus of the study “Prognos Zukunftsatlas® Industries 2009” is on those future fields of the German economy which have strongly increasing value creation potential, at least in the next five to ten years, and will significantly determine economic development in Germany. For this purpose, the growth sectors identified as sustainable over the long term have been analysed based on the “Prognos Weltreport® 2009.” The “Prognos Zukunftsatlas® Industries 2009” provides information on the regional distribution of the seven identified future fields in Germany’s 413 districts and independent cities.
The results of the “Prognos Zukunftsatlas® Industries 2009” are based on a two-stage analysis procedure. In the first step, against the background of the global economic crisis, it was first analysed which sectors benefit from state economic stimulus measures in the short term. At the same time, the long-term future-oriented industries were determined based on the “Prognos Weltreports® 2009 – Industrial Countries 1995 – 2025.” The seven future fields of the German economy were derived from the “intersection” of short-term profiteers and long-term viable industries. The second step aims to identify the leading regions in the future fields using employee data.
The data basis for the “Prognos Zukunftsatlas® Industries 2009” is used for detailed analyses of regional focal points for selected industries. For this purpose, among others, important leading companies, research institutions, and key actors are taken into account.
As a further development of the “Prognos Zukunftsatlas® 2006,” the present “Prognos Zukunftsatlas® Industries 2009” does not examine the sectors that have grown based on past dynamics and are strongly represented in the European comparison (leading and growth sectors in Germany), but rather focuses on the regional location of the German future fields with the highest long-term growth potential (perspective 2015/2020).
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