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Expertise

Power & Renewable Energy

Achieving global & national climate targets.

The expansion of renewable energies in Germany is central to achieving global and national climate targets. Increasingly renewable electricity generation is the basis for the decarbonisation of the heating market and the transport sector. In the future, energy supply for industry and aviation can also become climate-neutral through the generation of hydrogen and electricity-based energy sources.

Renewable energies in Germany

By now, renewable energies like hydropower, wind energy, photovoltaics, solar and geothermal energy as well as the use of biomass are highly developed and widespread. Technological advances and economies of scale have reduced generation costs: For example, ground-mounted solar and wind power plants have no cost disadvantages compared to fossil power plants. In 2019, renewable energies covered 42.1 percent of electricity consumption in Germany. In other sectors, the use of renewable energies was less advanced: In the heating market, the share of renewable energies was 14.5 percent, in transport 5.6 percent.

Securing the power supply

The transformation of the energy system towards the exclusive use of renewable energies is a major challenge. To secure electricity supply, the future energy system must connect millions of electricity producers, storage facilities and consumers across national borders and react flexibly to different weather situations and demands.

Electricity & Renewable Energies: A selection of our services

Electricity Market Forecasting

We have many years of experience in electricity market forecasting, market design, renewable energy integration, networks and new consumers.

Development & Evaluation of Energy Policy Instruments

We evaluate and further develop energy policy instruments and measures (e.g. Renewable Energy, WindSeeG, KWKG, BEHG, hydrogen strategy, sector coupling, PtX, coal phase-out, expansion of renewable energies) with a focus on economic costs, feasibility, CO2 and greenhouse gas emissions, supply security and electricity prices.

Market Scenarios & Modelling

We offer electricity market scenarios and electricity network modelling based on the Prognos electricity market model and answer key questions related to the future development of the electricity system with regard to electricity generation, CO2 and greenhouse gas emissions, export balance, power plant park, expansion and market integration of renewable energies

Electricity Price Forecasts

We provide electricity price forecasts for wholesale electricity prices (base load, peak load, hourly electricity prices) as well as for end-user electricity prices for different consumption cases (private households, trade, industry).

Profitability Analyses

We perform profitability analyses for assets (wind onshore, wind offshore, photovoltaics, hydroelectric power plants, gas power plants, CHP plants, renewable heat generation, heat supply concepts), mergers and acquisitions (M&A) as well as the calculation of market value factors of renewable energies and contribution margins.

Studies & Expert Opinions

We prepare studies and expert opinions on energy-related topics (security of supply, market design, energy prices, energy and employment, etc.).

Our work on this topic

Take a look at our latest projects and activities.

Bepflanzte Hauswand eines Hochhauses

Climate-Neutral Germany 2045

2021

Together with the Öko-Institut and the Wuppertal Institute, we have investigated how Germany can achieve its climate targets even before 2050.

Windrad auf einem Rapsfeld

Climate neutrality & security of supply in the electricity market

2021

Assessment of the security of supply until 2030 of the scenarios KN2050 and KN2045 from the study "Climate Neutral Germany".

Großer 1000 Tonnen Kran demontiert an einem sonnigen Tag mit Industriekletterern ein Windrad.

EU’s Global Leadership in Renewables

2020

Prognos, together with COWI, CEPS, and Capgemini invent, examines Europe's position and competitiveness in global renewable energy value chains.

Ein E-Auto lädt an eine Ladestation.

Prognos Charging Report 2020

2020

The Prognos Charging Report 2020 conducted on behalf of EnBW (Energie Baden-Württemberg) provides an overview of the status quo of charging infrastructure.

Zwei Ingenieure stehen auf einem Feld mit Windkraftanlage

Future of th electricity system II

2018

How can the transition to a power supply based on renewable energies by 2050 be successfully managed? This question is answered by a study for WWF Germany.

Vogelperspektive auf einen kleinen Pfad in einem Wald

Climate Path for Germany

2018

How can Germany reach its 2050 climate goals - and under what conditions is that possible? Those are the questions addressed by a study for the Association of German Industry (BDI).

Do you have questions?

Your contact at Prognos

Marco Wünsch

Principal

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About us

Prognos – Providing Orientation.

Prognos is one of the oldest economic research centres in Europe. Founded at the University of Basel, Prognos experts have been conducting research for a wide range of clients from the public and private sectors since 1959 – politically independent, scientifically sound.

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